Is the Bitcoin Christmas rally still coming? 2024 looks suspiciously like 2021

Is the Bitcoin Christmas rally still coming? 2024 looks suspiciously like 2021

Will Bitcoin See a Christmas Rally in 2024?

The fourth quarter has⁢ historically been​ a profitable time for Bitcoin (BTC), with significant price increases often occurring around‌ Christmas, a phenomenon dubbed the ⁣”Santa rally” ‍or “Christmas rally”. However, a drop in Bitcoin price earlier‌ this week led many to question if this year’s Christmas rally will materialize. Data from Coinglass⁢ shows that while the fourth quarter of 2024 has seen some gains (less than 50%), it falls​ short of the remarkable surges witnessed in previous⁢ years.​ For example, 2013‍ saw a near 480% increase​ in the fourth quarter. The ‌last significant Christmas rally ‌happened in 2020 when ⁣Bitcoin’s price surged over ⁢45% in ⁢a ⁣single month.

Repeating History? Lessons from 2021

Interestingly, Bitcoin experienced a similar price drop in late 2021, just before Christmas. After a 25% decline in January, the cryptocurrency quickly recovered‍ and reached $70,000 by year’s end. This highlights ‍Bitcoin’s resilience and ability to bounce back‌ even during dips. The‍ 2021 scenario mirrors the current situation in several ways. Both instances⁣ occurred during a bull market, with ⁢the realized price ⁢of Bitcoin remaining above⁤ that of short-term holders. This⁤ often provides support during market downturns.

Is a Bitcoin Rally Still Possible this Christmas?

Despite the ‌recent dip,‍ analysts remain optimistic.The continued rise in the realized price and average price of Bitcoin suggests ongoing⁤ investor confidence. As long as Bitcoin stays above the realized price‍ of short-term holders, which currently sits around $84,000, the bull market could persist, possibly paving the way for a Christmas rally. Some experts‍ even predict Bitcoin could reach $120,000 before the end of the‍ year, citing factors⁢ like Donald Trump’s pro-crypto stance as a potential catalyst.

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From Humble ​Beginnings⁤ to Bitcoin Investor: An ⁣Ibiza Success Story

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## Will Bitcoin See a Christmas Rally in 2024?



**Archyde** sits ‍down with⁢ leading Crypto⁤ Analyst, **[Alex Reed Name]**, to discuss teh possibility ⁣of a Bitcoin “Christmas Rally” this year.



**Archyde:** Welcome to the show,⁣ [Alex Reed Name]. As we approach the‍ holiday season, many are‍ wondering if Bitcoin will experience its conventional price surge, commonly known as the “Santa Rally.”



Recent dips​ in Bitcoin’s price have fueled anxieties:⁤ could this year ‍be different?



**[Alex Reed Name]:** Thank you‍ for having me. The question ‍of a Christmas rally⁣ this year is a complex‌ one. While historically, the ‌fourth quarter has been quite⁣ favorable for Bitcoin, with significant rises frequently enough happening around Christmas [[1](https://hodlfm.com/bitcoin/bitcoin-christmas-rally/)], we‌ have seen less dramatic gains ​this year compared to previous years like 2013 or 2020.



**Archyde:** ​ It’s true, Coinglass data ⁢shows that ​while Bitcoin has seen some ⁣gains in Q4 2024, they haven’t been as pronounced as in past years.



**[Alex Reed Name]:** Exactly.However, it’s significant to remember that ⁢bitcoin has ‌displayed resilience before. In 2021, we saw​ a similar price drop ⁤in late December, followed by a⁣ sharp recovery​ in January. ⁤



**Archyde:** ‌That’s fascinating. are there⁣ any parallels between the current situation ​and ⁤2021?



**[Alex Reed Name]:** Yes, there ⁣are some similarities. Both situations occured during recognized bull⁢ markets, and the realized price‍ of Bitcoin remained higher than that of short-term⁢ holders in both scenarios.⁣ this frequently​ enough provides a certain level of support during market dips.



**Archyde:**⁤ So, are you optimistic about the ‌chances of ‌a Christmas rally this year?



**[Alex Reed Name]:** I⁢ wouldn’t write off the possibility.We’ve seen Bitcoin ⁤defy​ expectations before. There are certainly factors hinting at potential upside. ⁢However, ​it’s essential to remain cautious. The crypto market is inherently ‍volatile, and ‍predicting short-term price movements with certainty is nearly unfeasible.



**Archyde:** Thank you for sharing ​your insights,[Alex Reed Name]. It will be interesting to see‍ how bitcoin performs in the coming weeks.







**[End Interview]**


## Will Bitcoin See a christmas Rally in 2024? Interview wiht [Alex Reed Name], Crypto Analyst



**[Host Name]:** Welcome back to Archyde, everyone. With the holiday season fast approaching, many are wondering whether Bitcoin will see its traditional “santa rally” this year. To help us understand what to expect, we have with us today [Alex Reed Name], a renowned crypto analyst. welcome to the show, [Alex Reed Name].



**[Alex Reed Name]:** Thanks for having me. It’s a pleasure to be here.



**[Host Name]:** So, [Alex Reed Name], Bitcoin has historically seen notable price surges around christmastime. Will we see a repeat of this pattern in 2024?



**[Alex Reed name]:** While ancient trends are certainly worth considering, the crypto market is notoriously volatile and influenced by a multitude of factors. We did see a dip in Bitcoin price recently, which has some people concerned.



However, it’s significant to remember that Bitcoin experienced a similar dip in late 2021 before rebounding and reaching new highs by year-end.



Comparing the two situations, we see both cases occurring during a bull market, with the realized price of Bitcoin remaining above that of short-term holders. This usually indicates strong investor confidence and a good sign for a potential rebound.



**[Host Name]:** That’s encouraging to hear. Some analysts are even predicting Bitcoin could reach $120,000 before the end of the year.What’s fueling this optimism?



**[Alex Reed Name]:** Several factors contribute to this bullish sentiment. Trump’s recent pro-crypto stance could potentially drive more institutional investment into the market. Furthermore, the continued rise in the realized price and average price of Bitcoin suggests ongoing investor confidence, which is crucial for sustained growth.



**[Host Name]:** So, would you say a Christmas rally is still possible this year?



**[Alex Reed Name]:** While I can’t make financial predictions, I believe the odds are in favor of a potential rally. Provided that Bitcoin stays above the realized price of short-term holders, currently around $84,000, there’s a good chance we could see another significant price increase before the year ends.



**[host Name]:** That’s fantastic news for potential investors. For those interested in entering the crypto market, platforms like Bitvavo are offering enticing welcome bonuses. Can you elaborate on that?



**[Alex Reed Name]:** Absolutely! Bitvavo, a leading european cryptocurrency exchange, is currently offering €10 in free crypto to new users. It’s a fantastic way to dip your toes into the world of crypto without making a significant initial investment.



**[Host Name]:** Incredible!



[**Host Name could then transition into discussing the Bitvavo referral link and the Ibiza success story mentioned in the original text, offering more details and encouraging viewers to further explore these opportunities.]**

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