Interest rate signals from Jackson Hole: Euro rise is good for the exit

Analyzes and investment recommendations from FUCHS currencies to the euro, pound sterling, gas and much more

Of the Euro is picking up and appears to be benefiting from the aftermath of Fed statements in Jackson Hole. There, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell had announced a constantly sporty hike in interest rates. In his slipstream, ECB Director Isabel Schnabel had also spoken of the fact that the ECB had to “resolutely” fight inflation. These are completely new sounds from the mouth of the economist, who saw “no inflationary pressure” in January and had promised that the ECB could “possibly herald the turnaround in interest rates” in June.

On the foreign exchange market is the interest– Message still arrived. Traders are now betting that the ECB will Interest charges more increased. There is even speculation about a rate hike of 75 basis points in September. The increased inflation rates are grist to the mill of this speculation. The dollar and other currencies will therefore no longer expand their interest rate advantage as quickly. Sometimes it will even shrink. At the same time, the new crisis instrument for the unlimited and non-quota purchase of government bonds takes the interest pressure off the southern countries. This reduces the risk of a euro crisis, at least in the short term.

Into the safe havens

This pushes perspective pushes the Euro
against francs, lb and dollars on. The effect is unlikely to last long and structurally the euro will be further weakened. Therefore, from the point of view of FUCHS foreign exchange a good opportunity in CHF, USD and also ENOUGH to diversify.

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