2023-10-28 10:49:15
Chinese leader Xi Jinping was re-elected for a third term last year, but this year the political arena has been shaken; the defense and foreign ministers have just been purged, and following the official media announced the death of former Prime Minister Li Keqiang on the 27th, the outside world believes that the CCP is undergoing the most intensive personnel changes since the reform and opening up. Analysts point out that Li Keqiang’s sudden death reflects Xi Jinping’s difficulties and may bring a crisis to Xi. Li’s death also symbolizes the withdrawal of the “Tuan Faction” from the CCP’s political horizon.
Li Keqiang died suddenly of a heart attack, and the party’s Central Health Commission might not save the life of the retired former prime minister. It is said that Li had been suffering from heart problems for a long time, and this attack was ultimately incurable.
This newspaper, under the umbrella of the United Daily News, pointed out that on the surface this was the result of physical and health conditions, but those who looked closely thought that Li Keqiang’s heart disease was caused by depression and that he died of depression. In the past ten years of his career as prime minister, Li Keqiang has been serving beside the general secretary who aspires to be a leader from heaven. He can only be a gray figure with no stage to expand on. He can only quietly hide behind the spotlight and do things as he pleases.
At the beginning of the three-year COVID-19 pandemic, Xi Jinping found several economists to discuss countermeasures, such as Lin Yifu, Zheng Yongnian, Fan Gang, etc. Everyone was shocked to realize that it was Xi’s own think tank, including Liu He, Wang Huning and other Xi’s cronies. , but Li Keqiang, who is in charge of the economy with his official license, is not among them.
Li Keqiang has his own economic theory, known as “Keqiang Economics,” which generally involves reducing government intervention and significantly delegating power to the market. His masterpiece is the “Shanghai Pilot Free Trade Zone”. Li Keqiang’s ultimate goal is to make the vast China a free trade zone.
Li’s path is actually liberalization, but it is not favored by Xi Jinping. Xi can’t wait to put forward his own things, and even seriously names the “Shanghai Free Trade Zone”. One month following its launch, Xi Jinping proposed the “Silk Road” in Kazakhstan. Together with the Maritime Silk Road in Indonesia, the “One Belt, One Road” has become Xi’s swaying signboard, obscuring Li’s economics.
Li Keqiang’s frustration does not stop there. If Hu Jintao who promoted him was powerful enough, he might have directly become general secretary. However, Hu might not get rid of Jiang Zemin’s constraints and might only accept Jiang’s choice of Xi Jinping. Not only did Li Keqiang lose the possibility of becoming the all-powerful leader, but also Let me bear the unforeseen pressure.
Since the world belongs to Xi Jinping, the rule of the Tuan faction that Li Keqiang and he and Hu Jintao once supported will naturally decline. However, Li Keqiang’s sudden death unexpectedly reflects the huge political risks of the CCP: the authoritarian system without a successor may face collapse due to the sudden death of the most powerful person.
Li Keqiang’s sudden death reflects Xi Jinping’s problem; in a system where leaders are determined in a closed manner within the party, whether the appointment of a successor or not, together with an accidental death, can trigger major political disturbances and national crises; Xi Jinping is still in power at the age of 70. At this moment, China has no successor. Who dares to imagine that the death of an emperor will be announced in Zhongnanhai? Has this faint political warning slowly spread among the Politburo?
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