How is the last one between Trump and Harris going? –

Kamala Harris continues to rise in the polls ahead of the November presidential election. The numbers support her both nationally and in the key states where the race for the White House is being decided. FiveThirtyEight, an American site that tracks all the polls and compiles averages, places the Democratic candidate 2.1 percentage points ahead of Donald Trump. The vice president of the United States is ahead by two points in Michigan, 1.1 in Pennsylvania and 1.8 in Wisconsin. Trump leads in Arizona and Georgia by less than half a point. In North Carolina, where there have been fewer polls, Trump is ahead by three points and the two candidates are tied in Nevada. In this state, however, a recent poll by CBS and Bloomberg gave Harris a lead of two points, while according to the Nevada Independent, the Democratic candidate is ahead by as much as six.

The numbers indicate a radical change in the presidential race compared to a month ago: after the withdrawal of President Joe Biden, 81, in favor of his vice president, 59, Trump, at 78, has become the oldest candidate in the history of American presidential elections. Before Harris entered, Biden was behind in almost all states and even nationally, but both he and Trump were disliked by two out of three Americans, according to whom the two candidates were considered “too old.”

With Biden out, Trump is still “old.” The Cook Political Report changed its rating of the three swing states in the so-called “Sun Belt”—Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada—from “leaning Republican” to “tied.” Another popular analysis site, Sabatòs Crystal Ball, run by political scientist Larry Sabàto, changed its rating of Georgia from Republican to swing, while two other states, Minnesota and New Hampshire, where Trump was surging, went from “leaning Democratic” to “probably Democratic.” Harris’s decision to choose Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her vice president had an effect not only in that state but in other states in the Midwest. The indication is general. For the second week in a row, the Democratic nominee leads by two points in the Economist/YouGov poll, while Reuters/Ipsos gives her a five-point margin, 42 to 37. In another Ipsos survey covering seven key states, Harris leads by an average of two points, 42 to 40. Another comforting piece of data for Democrats is the nationwide Marquette University poll, which shows Harris ahead by six points among likely voters. The vice president also maintains her lead in a three-way race that includes independent Robert Kennedy Jr., credited with 4 percent of the vote, but down from the 10 percent he obtained in July.