How did the European Parliament elections have an effect on Ursula von der Leyen’s probabilities of remaining on the head of the European Fee?

How did the European Parliament elections have an effect on Ursula von der Leyen’s probabilities of remaining on the head of the European Fee?

Ursula von der Leyen wants a majority within the European Parliament

Every of those names carries some dangers, however they do not appear to have any severe competitors in the intervening time. Von der Leyen is the one one from this group who has to undergo a vote within the European Parliament, the place it’s obligatory to acquire an absolute half, i.e. at the least 361 out of 720 votes. The brand new coalition of Christian Democrats, socialists and liberals may have a complete of 401 votes.

Nevertheless, the vote is secret and you can’t rely on 100% help. – The margin of disloyalty is estimated at 10-15 p.c. – says unofficially a diplomat from one of many EU nations. Which brings us dangerously near the restrict required by the treaty. Subsequently, von der Leyen will definitely search extra votes. On the one hand, he can attempt with the Greens, who’re very weakened in these elections, so maybe they’re taken with an association that might power von der Leyen to point out gratitude within the type of program objects favorable to ecologists. Then once more, it’s identified that the German is making an attempt to realize the sympathy of some representatives of the far proper, particularly the group of Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni. The EPP has set three crimson traces for cooperation with others: it’s important to be pro-European, pro-Ukrainian and never violate the rule of regulation. In response to von der Leyen, but additionally the top of the EPP, Manfred Weber, Meloni’s get together meets these circumstances.

European Parliament elections. The Christian Democrats are turning proper

The European Christian Democrats don’t rule out constructing a coalition with some representatives of the intense proper, based on the announcement of Ursula von der Leyen, candidate for president of the European Fee.

Some doubts concern the remaining candidates. Proceedings are underway in opposition to the previous Portuguese prime minister following corruption in his entourage was revealed. And though he himself has not been charged, the case is unfinished and his candidacy definitely includes a danger. However the socialists insist it must be Costa. The actual fact is that they don’t have any different good and keen candidates amongst present or current leftist prime ministers. Mette Frederiksen, Prime Minister of Denmark, typically talked regarding as a candidate, is taken into account by a lot of the left to be too right-wing as a result of she pursues a harsh anti-immigration coverage.

Lastly, Kaja Kallas, the Prime Minister of Estonia, doesn’t arouse the passion of some politicians from Southern Europe who argue that she is just too targeted on Russia and should neglect different areas of the world. Nevertheless, most individuals assume that she is an excellent candidate – expressive, communicative, skilled and appreciated in EU capitals. Furthermore, the place of Excessive Consultant has been held by Southern European politicians for the final ten years, so it’s time for a altering of the guard.

After the European Parliament elections: What is going to Emmanuel Macron do?

The one unknown on this complete association stays the conduct of Emmanuel Macron. The French president is thought for startling strikes and nobody is aware of why he set the date of the early elections to the Nationwide Meeting in order that their first spherical falls on June 30 – two days following the EU summit, throughout which choices relating to appointments to excessive positions are to be made. Will Macron chorus from concluding an settlement in order to not create the impression in France that he’s once more sponsoring some association of mainstream events, for which the one different is the far-right Nationwide Rally of Marine Le Pen? Or quite the opposite: he needs such a broad settlement to win the votes of each the socialists and the center-right, united in opposition to the radicals, within the second spherical.

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