How Blocked US Military Aid to Ukraine Can Endanger Resistance to Russian Attacks: Experts’ Analysis

2023-10-03 19:28:02
2023-10-04 03:28 United Daily News International Center/Comprehensive Report Experts believe that if the United States’ military aid to Ukraine is blocked, it may harm the current counterattack and even endanger the Ukrainian army’s ability to resist Russian attacks…

Experts point out that if the hard-right Republican Party succeeds in preventing the United States from aiding Ukraine, the Ukrainian army will soon lack indispensable ammunition and equipment, affecting its ability to counterattack and even resist the Russian army.

Cancian, a consultant at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a think tank in Washington, said that delays or even stops in U.S. funding will have an impact on the Ukrainian military, which will be felt before Thanksgiving, which is the last Thursday in November. He described that if the United States stops aiding Ukraine, it will have devastating consequences. Although it may be able to hold on defensively for the time being, the Ukrainian army will become weaker and may eventually collapse.

Since the start of the war between Russia and Ukraine last February, the United States has pledged to provide more than US$43 billion (approximately NT$1.4 trillion) in security assistance, accounting for more than half of the Western world’s total aid to Ukraine. However, in order to avoid a federal government shutdown, the U.S. Congress removed the new wave of aid to Ukraine from the short-term appropriation bill passed on September 30 as a compromise. This highlights that the U.S. cannot guarantee uninterrupted support for Ukraine.

The United States provides a huge amount of arms to help Ukraine fight Russia, ranging from small arms ammunition, artillery shells, military vehicles to advanced multiple rocket launchers, tanks and mine clearance equipment. Cancian also said that combat troops need an endless supply of weapons, materials and ammunition.

If US aid is completely interrupted, the impact will not be immediately apparent. Previously authorized aid is still in progress. Cancian said that the impact on the battlefield may not be seen until a few weeks, but Russia “should not be able to gain any advantage” and the Russian army is currently depleted.

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If US aid is stopped, there will be a gap in Ukraine’s rear air defense system. At present, Ukraine’s air defense facilities are composed of systems provided by multiple friendly countries, covering airspace at different altitudes, and must be continuously replenished with ammunition. These systems play a key role in protecting Ukrainian civilians and infrastructure from frequent Russian drone and missile attacks.

Black, assistant director of the European office of the US think tank Rand Corporation, mentioned that the differences between systems make it difficult for Ukraine to fill the gap with European equipment once US aid is interrupted. It will be impossible for Ukraine to make up for the US aid gap in three to five years by relying on Europe. arrive.

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