House of Councilors election NHK exit poll Thorough analysis of the results of the Hokkaido constituency | NHK Hokkaido News

NHK conducted an exit poll on the 10th to explore the voting behavior and political consciousness of voters.
The survey was conducted on 5759 voters who had voted at 48 polling stations in Hokkaido, and received responses from 3499, or 60.8%.
On the other hand, by the 9th, regarding 19% of voters have already voted before the deadline, but these people are not included in the survey results.

《Gender / Age》
By gender, ▼ The latter half of the 20% of men voted for Mr. Hasegawa, who is incumbent in the LDP, and regarding 20% voted for Mr. Funabashi, a newcomer to the LDP.
▼ The latter half of the 20% of women vote for Mr. Hasegawa, and regarding 20% vote for Mr. Tokunaga, the incumbent of the Constitutional Democratic Party.
Mr. Hasegawa received the most support for both men and women.

By age group, ▼ Mid 20% of teens and 20s vote for Hasegawa, who is incumbent in the LDP, and regarding 20% vote for Funabashi, a newcomer to the LDP.
In addition, regarding 30% of people in their thirties vote for Mr. Hasegawa, and regarding 20% vote for Mr. Funahashi.
▼ About 30% of people in their 40s vote for Mr. Hasegawa.
▼ About 30% of people in their 50s vote for Mr. Hasegawa, and regarding 20% vote for Mr. Tokunaga, the incumbent of the Constitutional Democratic Party.
▼ The late 20% of people in their 60s vote for Mr. Hasegawa, regarding 20% vote for Mr. Tokunaga, and regarding 20% vote for Mr. Funahashi.
▼ Mid 20% of people aged 70 and over vote for Mr. Hasegawa, and mid 20% vote for Mr. Ishikawa, a newcomer to the Constitutional Democratic Party.
Mr. Hasegawa has gained widespread support in each age group.

“Support Political Parties”
When asked regarding the political parties that they usually support in the exit survey, ▼ Liberal Democratic Party is 43%, ▼ Constitutional Democratic Party is 19%, ▼ Komeito is 5%, ▼ Nippon Ishin no Kai is 4%, ▼ Democratic Party for the People is 2%, ▼ The Communist Party accounted for 5%, and the so-called non-partisan group, which has no particular support, was 17%.

Mr. Hasegawa, who is incumbent in the Liberal Democratic Party, said: No, it got support from the mid 10% of the so-called non-partisan class.
Mr. Tokunaga, who is incumbent in the Constitutional Democratic Party, said: ▼ High 40% of the supporters of the Constitutional Democratic Party, ▼ Approximately 10% of the supporters of the Komeito Party, ▼ High 10% of the supporters of the Nippon Ishin no Kai, ▼ Support of the Democratic Party for the People. We received support from the mid 10% range, ▼ regarding 10% of the supporters of the Communist Party, and ▼ the high 20% range of the nonpartisan group.
Mr. Funabashi, a newcomer to the LDP, said: ▼ Mid 30% of the LDP supporters, ▼ Approximately 30% of the Komeito supporters, ▼ Mid 10% of the Nippon Ishin no Kai supporters, ▼ Approximately 10% of the nonpartisan supporters. I got support from.
Mr. Ishikawa, a newcomer to the Constitutional Democratic Party, said: ▼ Mid 40% of the supporters of the Constitutional Democratic Party, ▼ Approximately 20% of the supporters of the Nippon Ishin no Kai, ▼ Mid 10% of the supporters of the National Democratic Party, ▼ Support of the Communist Party. We got support from regarding 10% of the class and regarding 20% of the nonpartisan group.

As for the LDP supporters, Mr. Hasegawa was in the high 40% range, Mr. Funabashi was in the mid 30% range, and Mr. Hasegawa exceeded Mr. Funabashi.
As for the supporters of the Constitutional Democratic Party, Mr. Tokunaga was in the high 40% range, Mr. Ishikawa was in the mid 40% range, and Mr. Tokunaga exceeded Mr. Ishikawa.
As for the Komeito supporters, Mr. Hasegawa was in the mid 40% range, Mr. Funabashi was regarding 30%, and Mr. Hasegawa exceeded Mr. Funabashi.
Among the nonpartisan groups, Tokunaga was in the high 20% range, Ishikawa was in the mid 10% range, and Funabashi was in the mid 10% range.

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In the exit poll, I heard regarding Prime Minister Kishida’s administration.
▼ “Highly evaluated” was 11%, ▼ “Somewhat evaluated” was 60%, ▼ “Not very evaluated” was 22%, and ▼ “Not evaluated at all” was 7%.
When the four-step options were combined into two steps, ▼ “evaluate” was 71% and ▼ “not evaluate” was 29%.

Among those who answered “evaluate”, ▼ mid 30% is the incumbent Hasegawa of the LDP, ▼ mid 20% is the newcomer Funahashi of the LDP, and ▼ the latter half of the 10% is the incumbent Tokunaga of the Constitutional Democratic Party. , ▼ Mid 10% are voting for Mr. Ishikawa, a newcomer to the Constitutional Democratic Party.
Among those who answered “I do not evaluate”, ▼ mid 20% voted Mr. Tokunaga, ▼ mid 20% voted Mr. Ishikawa, ▼ regarding 10% voted Mr. Hasegawa, ▼ regarding 10% voted for newcomer Hatakeyama of the Communist Party. doing.

《Constitutional amendment》
In the exit poll, I heard regarding the constitutional amendment.
▼ “Need to revise” was 42%, ▼ “No need to revise” was 29%, and ▼ “I can’t say either” was 29%.

《Policies emphasized by voting》
In the exit poll, we asked regarding the policies that were emphasized in voting.
▼ “Economic policy” is 46%, ▼ “Social security policy” is 17%, ▼ “New corona virus countermeasures” is 11%, ▼ “Diplomatic and security policy” is 10%, ▼ “Energy and environmental policy” 5%, ▼ “Constitutional amendment” was 5%, ▼ “Other” was 6%.

Of those who answered “economic policy,” ▼ regarding 30% are the incumbent Hasegawa of the Liberal Democratic Party, ▼ the latter half of the 10% range is the incumbent Tokunaga of the Constitutional Democratic Party, and ▼ the latter half of the 10% range is Mr. Funahashi, a newcomer to the Liberal Democratic Party. ▼ The latter half of the 10% range is voting for Mr. Ishikawa, a newcomer to the Constitutional Democratic Party.
Of those who answered “social security policy”, ▼ mid 20% voted for Mr. Tokunaga, ▼ regarding 20% voted for Mr. Ishikawa, ▼ regarding 20% voted for Mr. Hasegawa, and ▼ mid 10% voted for Mr. Funahashi. ..
Among those who answered “Countermeasures once morest the new coronavirus”, ▼ mid 30% voted for Mr. Hasegawa, ▼ high 10% voted for Mr. Tokunaga, ▼ high 10% voted for Mr. Funahashi, and ▼ regarding 10% voted for Mr. Ishikawa. I am.
Among those who answered “diplomatic and security policy”, ▼ the latter half of the 20% range voted for Mr. Funahashi, ▼ the latter half of the 20% range voted for Mr. Hasegawa, ▼ the middle 10% range voted for Mr. Tokunaga, and ▼ regarding 10% voted for Mr. Ishikawa. doing.
Of those who answered “energy / environmental policy”, ▼ regarding 20% voted for Mr. Funahashi, ▼ regarding 20% voted for Mr. Hasegawa, ▼ regarding 20% voted for Mr. Tokunaga, and ▼ regarding 20% voted for Mr. Ishikawa.
Of those who answered “constitutional amendment”, ▼ regarding 20% voted for Mr. Ishikawa, ▼ regarding 20% voted for Mr. Tokunaga, ▼ regarding 10% voted for Mr. Hasegawa, and ▼ regarding 10% voted for Mr. Hatakeyama.

《Restarting Tomari Nuclear Power Plant》
In the exit poll, we asked regarding the restart of the Tomari Nuclear Power Station of Hokkaido Electric Power Company.
▼ “Agree” was 45% and ▼ “Disagree” was 55%.

《Governor Suzuki’s administration of politics》
In the exit poll, I asked regarding Governor Suzuki’s administration of politics.
▼ “Highly evaluated” was 30%, ▼ “Somewhat evaluated” was 57%, ▼ “Not very evaluated” was 11%, and ▼ “Not evaluated at all” was 3%.
Due to rounding, the sum of the four options is not 100.
When the four-step options were combined into two steps, ▼ “evaluate” was 87% and ▼ “not evaluate” was 13%.

[For details, please visit the special website]
NHK Hokkaido’s special site “Choice Hokkaido” has posted various contents to know “widely” and “deeply” regarding this House of Councilors election.
In “This is the House of Councilors election”, we have posted a column that collects deep data and niche trivia.
For detailed recent election results, please see the column article “Looking back on the results of the Upper House election Hokkaido, the history of the battle since Heisei …”.
For an analysis of past exit polls, see the column article “Deep-drilling” voter turnout, early voting, exit polls … in the House of Councilors election data in Hokkaido.
If you read this, you can understand the House of Councilors election in Hokkaido, “Choice Hokkaido”.
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