2024-09-03 06:12:56
Heavy to torrential rain (>12 cm) and very heavy rain (>20 cm) are likely to hit parts of Gujarat (North Gujarat, Gandhinagar and South Gujarat) on Tuesday as a slow-moving, often stationary depression weakens to a distinct ‘depression’ but persists over the Vidarbha region. Slow lateral movement can generally prolong the stay of a rainfall system over a region.
Another prominent ‘low’, the remnant of ex-cyclone Asna, is located further out in the Arabian Sea and is sending a south-westerly flow towards its counterpart over land, which has managed to attract moist southeasterly winds from the Bay of Bengal across the Andhra Pradesh coast. The Indian Meteorological Department said the land system will persist for a day before weakening into a regular ‘low’.
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Heavy rain recorded
As of Monday evening, heavy to torrential rains were recorded in parts of Gujarat, while heavy rains continued in East Rajasthan. As of Tuesday, the India Meteorological Department has predicted heavy to torrential rains (>12 cm) in Saurashtra and Kutch (west Gujarat) and adjoining West Madhya Pradesh, and heavy rains (>7 cm) in parts of Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh, Uttarakhand, western Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, Rajasthan, Vidarbha, East Madhya Pradesh, Northeast India, Maharashtra, Kerala and Mahei, and coastal Karnataka.
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New lows within two or three days
The Indian Meteorological Department has predicted that a new rain-bearing low pressure area is likely to develop over the Gulf off the coast of Andhra Pradesh and Odisha in the next two days, which more or less confirms the Indian Meteorological Department’s forecast of rains in September (the last month of the season) for most parts of the country. Numerical weather model forecasts suggest that the remnants of the existing “low pressure” over Vidarbha and its northwestward movement may not allow the brewing low pressure in the Gulf to move over land until September 10.
May wander on the water
The IMD model predicts that after crossing the coast of West Bengal, the “low” will move towards northwest Odisha and adjoining Jharkhand by September 12, until the forecast is issued on Tuesday morning. As for other parts of India, thunderstorms, lightning and gusty winds are likely in Telangana; lightning is likely in Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha. Severe and rainy weather is likely over and along the coast of South Gujarat and Karnataka, the Gulf of Mannar and off the coast of Sri Lanka.
Satellite images
Satellite images in the morning showed that rain clouds have moved from the Indian peninsula to the west coast (Gujarat, Maharashtra and Karnataka), western Madhya Pradesh and parts of eastern Rajasthan. New clouds have appeared over the coast of Andhra Pradesh and Odisha, and a “low pressure” is expected to form over the Gulf waters in the next two or three days.
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