Nationwide, the Republican ex-president is currently at 48 percent, the New York Times reported on Sunday, citing the Siena Institute. The Democrat Harris is at 47 percent. However, the newspaper stresses that the range of fluctuation is higher than the one percentage point difference determined.
However, if you look at all registered voters, Harris is at 46 percent and Trump at 48 percent. This gap is also within the margin of error of 3 percent. Trump may have had a tough month after US President Joe Biden withdrew from the race, but the poll shows that his support is remarkably stable, the newspaper said. The results of the poll should bring the Democrats “back down to earth.”
Trump ahead for the first time
Table of Contents
- 1 Trump ahead for the first time
- 2 Tie in four swing states
- 3 Here’s a related question addressing the title **”Trump Takes Lead in Presidential Poll, Harris Struggles to Gain Momentum”**:
- 4 Here are some potential People Also Ask (PAA) questions related to the title “Trump Takes Lead in Presidential Poll, Harris Struggles to Gain Momentum”:
Table of Contents
Before the presidential election on November 5, pretty much every new poll in the USA makes headlines. The current poll is attracting particular attention because it shows a lead for Trump for the first time in a large, non-partisan national poll in about a month. However, it is not possible to say with any certainty at this point whether support for Harris has stalled and the hype surrounding her is waning after she entered the race. More polls are needed for that.
An analysis by the US broadcaster CNN of several polls conducted since the Democratic Party convention in August also shows a close race between the 59-year-old Harris and the 78-year-old Trump with no clear frontrunner. According to the survey, Harris has 49 percent support and Trump has 47 percent.
Tie in four swing states
In the USA, however, the total number of votes nationwide is not the main deciding factor due to the electoral system. Rather, it depends on the so-called swing states – i.e. US states in which the race between Democrats and Republicans is particularly close. According to the New York Times poll, the Vice President is currently narrowly ahead in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. In four other swing states – Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona – there is currently a tie.
Both camps are now eagerly awaiting the TV debate between Harris and Trump on Tuesday (local time). There is a lot at stake, and some TV debates have decided US elections. Slip-ups or mistakes can have devastating consequences – in the case of the outgoing incumbent Joe Biden, his mistake in the debate with Trump on June 27th meant the end of his plan to run as a candidate again despite his advanced age and to move back into the White House. Instead, his Vice President Harris was chosen as the Democratic candidate. She will now face Trump in Philadelphia in the swing state of Pennsylvania.
ePaper
Trump Takes Lead in Presidential Poll, Harris Struggles to Gain Momentum
In the latest presidential poll, former President Donald Trump has taken a slight lead over Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, with 48% of the vote compared to Harris’s 47%. However, the margin of error is higher than the one percentage point difference, and the results should be taken with a grain of salt.
The poll, conducted by the Siena Institute and reported by the New York Times, also shows that when looking at all registered voters, Harris is at 46% and Trump is at 48%, with a gap that is within the margin of error of 3%. This suggests that the race is still incredibly close, and that Trump’s support has remained stable despite a tough month following President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the race [[1]].
This poll is significant because it shows Trump ahead for the first time in a large, non-partisan national poll in about a month. However, it’s important to note that more polls are needed to determine whether Harris’s support has truly stalled or if this is just a blip on the radar.
Other polls have also shown a close race between the two candidates. An analysis by CNN of several polls conducted since the Democratic Party convention in August shows Harris with 49% support and Trump with 47% [[2]]. Meanwhile, FiveThirtyEight’s poll analysis shows a similarly close race, with Trump and Harris neck and neck in terms of average support [[2]].
The importance of swing states cannot be overstated in this election. According to the New York Times poll, Harris is narrowly ahead in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, while there is a tie in four other swing states - Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona [[3]].
The TV debate between Harris and Trump on Tuesday is highly anticipated, with both camps eager to see how the candidates will perform. As we’ve seen in previous elections, a strong debate performance can make all the difference in winning over undecided voters. For Harris, this debate is especially crucial, as it will be her first chance to shine on the national stage since being chosen as the Democratic candidate following Biden’s withdrawal.
the latest presidential poll shows Trump ahead, but only slightly. The race remains incredibly close, and it’s clear that both candidates will need to continue to campaign hard to win over voters. With the TV debate just around the corner, we’ll be watching closely to see how the candidates perform and how it affects the polls in the coming weeks.
References:
Trump Takes Lead in Presidential Poll, Harris Struggles to Gain Momentum
In a recent New York Times/Siena College survey, former President Donald Trump has taken a 1-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the presidential polls [1]. The poll shows Trump with 48 percent support, while Harris has 47 percent. However, it’s essential to note that the range of fluctuation is higher than the one percentage point difference determined.
When looking at all registered voters, Harris is at 46 percent, and Trump is at 48 percent. This gap is also within the margin of error of 3 percent. Despite having a tough month after US President Joe Biden withdrew from the race, the poll shows that Trump’s support is remarkably stable [2].
A Close Race Ahead
The current poll is attracting particular attention because it shows a lead for Trump for the first time in a large, non-partisan national poll in about a month. However, it is not possible to say with any certainty at this point whether support for Harris has stalled and the hype surrounding her is waning after she entered the race. More polls are needed to determine this.
An analysis by CNN of several polls conducted since the Democratic Party convention in August also shows a close race between Harris and Trump with no clear frontrunner [2]. According to the survey, Harris has 49 percent support, and Trump has 47 percent.
Swing States Hold the Key
In the USA, the total number of votes nationwide is not the main deciding factor due to the electoral system. Rather, it depends on the so-called swing states – i.e., US states in which the race between Democrats and Republicans is particularly close. According to the New York Times poll, Harris is currently narrowly ahead in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. In four other swing states – Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona – there is currently a tie [3].
The Upcoming TV Debate
Both camps are now eagerly awaiting the TV debate between Harris and Trump on Tuesday (local time). There is a lot at stake, and some TV debates have decided US elections. Slip-ups or mistakes can have devastating consequences – in the case of the outgoing incumbent Joe Biden, his mistake in the debate with Trump on June 27th meant the end of his plan to run as a candidate again despite his advanced age and to move back into the White House. Instead, his Vice President Harris was chosen as the Democratic candidate. She will now face Trump in Philadelphia in the swing state of Pennsylvania.
As the presidential election approaches, it’s essential to stay informed about the latest polls and developments. Stay tuned for more updates on this critical race.
References:
[1] Trump Vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Trump Takes 1-Point Lead In …
<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general
