Two of the three presidential candidates from Antioquia continue to strengthen their candidacies in the face of the consultations that will be held on March 13, on the same day as the legislative elections. According to The Great Survey of January, Federico Gutiérrez and Sergio Fajardo lead the voting intention in their respective convergences, the Team for Colombia and the Hope Center Coalition, respectively.
In contrast to the advantage that the former mayor of Medellín and the former governor of Antioquia are taking, according to the poll, the presidential aspiration of the other paisa candidate, Alejandro Gaviria, has not yet taken off in the Centro Esperanza Coalition. In the Historical Pact, Gustavo Petro is still up in voting intention. In all three scenarios, the “None” option won over the 15 presidential candidates (see Report).
The sample of 1,225 surveys distributed in 60 municipalities of the country and carried out from January 25 to 31, 2022, showed that among the voters the option of not voting for any of the presidential consultations prevails, since the “None” option achieved 34%. of the answers. The coalition that obtained the most voting intention in the measurement was the Historical Pact (29%), followed by the Hope Center Coalition (18%), and finally the Team for Colombia (13%), while the option “Does not know / does not respond” recorded 6%.
Gutierrez surprises Char
In this context, one of the surprising results was the advantage that Gutiérrez began to consolidate in the Team for Colombia against his most direct competitor, Alejandro Char. In The Great Survey, the former mayor of Medellín went from 11% in voting intention in December 2021 to 15% in January 2022.
Behind Gutiérrez appeared Char (currently accused of electoral corruption by Aída Merlano), who went from 9% to 10%, Enrique Peñalosa maintained 9%, and David Barguil went from 2% to 4%; Aydeé Lizarazo registered 3% in voting intention in January, but did not score in December. The “None” option obtained 55%.
Thus, Gutiérrez achieved a partial advantage of 5% in voting intentions against the former mayor of Barranquila, who has had to go out and give explanations to public opinion for Merlano’s remarks. 24 hours after this scandal was uncovered, the members of this coalition made their first tour together in Córdoba.
Fajardo stays up
In the awnings of the alliance of the so-called center there were no surprises, since the former governor continues to predominate in voting intentions, who dropped four percentage points, going from 22% in December 2021 to 18% in January 2022.
Behind Fajardo is still Juan Manuel Galán, who rose one percentage point, from 11% to 12%; another of the surprises was given by the other paisa pre-candidate, Alejandro Gaviria, who despite appearing in his public fight with Ingrid Betancourt did not achieve any advantage and, on the contrary, dropped in voting intention from 4% to 3%; behind appeared Jorge Enrique Robledo, who remained at 3%, and Carlos Amaya dropped from 3% to 2%. The “None” option had 47%.
After Betancourt left this convergence and Juan Fernando Cristo’s withdrawal from the contest, this coalition went from seven to five pre-candidates and with that figure Fajardo, Galán, Gaviria, Robledo and Amaya hope to achieve more clarity in the voters. After the division with the former senator, the five candidates began to campaign together to try to give a message of unity.
Petro, sole leader of the Pact
The query that seems to be clearer is the one on the left. The most voted option in the Historical Pact was “None”, with 42%, followed by Petro, who went from 33% in December 2021 to 36% in January 2022. Behind the leader of Human Colombia appear France Márquez, who dropped from 9% to 8%, and Camilo Romero, who dropped from 8% to 4%. Further back are Arelis Uriana and Alfredo Saade, both with 2%, but without registration in the previous measurement. Unlike the other two coalitions, in this convergence the candidates have campaigned separately.
These three coalitions have only 34 days left to go to the polls, where voters will choose a single candidate for each of the three convergences. In terms of figures from 2018 to 2022, it went from two consultations to three and from five to 15 presidential candidates participating in them