Kevin Kelly, the first editor of tech magazine Wired and a futurist of tech, predicts that in the future, people will live in a world where AI is ubiquitous. As such, the strategic value of AI in the tech board is bound to increase.
In his recently published book ‘The World After 5000 Days’, he repeatedly emphasizes the mainstream theory of AI. He also predicts that new technologies, including AI, will increase jobs rather than decrease them.
If you look at your optimism regarding AI, you’re likely to take a similar stance on the emergence of general-purpose AI, but Kevin Kelly is negative when it comes to general-purpose AI. There are many predictions that it will take a while for general-purpose AI to emerge, but Kevin Kelly does not seem to recognize the concept of general-purpose AI itself.
AI is not omnipotent. My former colleague Stewart Brand, who is a writer and editor, subheaded the magazine Whole Earth Catalog that we are gods and we can do it like gods. It is certain that we are promoting godlike powers. I don’t mean to be omnipotent and error-free, it doesn’t mean to be able to create something new, or create something that can create something.
However, I do not believe in general-purpose AI (artificial intelligence capable of self-learning and understanding language and phenomena like humans), and I think it is just a myth. This is due to human egocentric thinking, and it stems from a misunderstanding of intelligence. This is because there are not many intelligent beings on the planet Earth, and humans are peculiar beings, so they tend to think that they have universal intelligence. First of all, I don’t think our intelligence is universal. Human intelligence is nothing more than a narrow, idiosyncratic compound that has evolved to survive on this planet for millions of years.
There are many powerful individual AIs, and the interconnectedness of these AIs is the detail of the future where AI is universal, according to Kevin Kelly.
It just exists at the very edge of every possible way of thinking and mental space. Therefore, there is no such thing as general-purpose AI, and I believe that only individual AI exists. It’s like we don’t have a universal body. Our bodies evolved to survive in the African savannah, not universal. The body of every animal on the planet is quite individual and special in order to survive. These traits are also true of our intelligence. If we might examine every other intelligence in the universe, there would probably be another variety.
Each AI created in the future will also have a single function. Of course, you can make general-purpose objects that can handle many tasks, but even if you make a tool that can perform all functions such as a knife or a spatula, like cooking utensils used in the kitchen, each function is not special. not.
For example, if AI gets smarter, it may have a big impact on the market, but that effect will be offset if anyone has access to AI. The stock market is inherently unpredictable, but the more AI is used, the more unpredictable it becomes. If only one person uses it, it might work. However, once they become available to everyone, it becomes more difficult to predict, as they dissipate each other’s effects.
