French Presidential Envoy’s Visit to Beirut and the Implications for the Presidential File

2023-07-06 21:01:00

Since the French presidential envoy, Jean-Yves Luderban, ended his visit to Beirut on the twenty-third of last June, the presidential file has entered into a deep slumber, and the efforts related to this entitlement have taken a leave of absence, so that the stances expressed almost pass unnoticed on this file, and it is not hidden. On the one hand, the recent events recorded led to a decline in talking regarding him, but the issue will not be long and it is likely that he will be re-moved with the new return of the French presidential envoy to Beirut this month. Simultaneously, the country appears to be facing upcoming deadlines, some of which cannot bear the postponement and are close to its due date, and because the caretaker government is in the crosshairs of criticism by the forces accusing it of encroaching on the powers of the presidency, it may be facing a test in the coming days or weeks, knowing that no indications have appeared regarding what If there is an agreement or understanding on appointments in light of the reality of conducting business. A new old debate may open regarding the constitutionality of the government making any appointment, and what is meant by that is the urgent appointment to the governorship of the Banque du Liban, knowing that the possibility of this is very slim, and there are other options that may be far from the cabinet’s table, but at the same time it may find itself facing the challenge of completing a project. budget, if available.

Presidentially, a new round of negotiations will open during Le Drian’s upcoming visit. As for the government, President Najib Mikati will call the cabinet to convene when the need arises, and the work mechanism used previously, especially the consultation on the agenda, will remain the same.

Informed political circles report to “the brigade” that the talk circulating regarding a dialogue initiative that Le Drian is carrying with him is awaiting translation, and therefore it is not possible to enter into speculation regarding it, what are its most prominent points, and whether they are related to the completion of the maturity, or that this dialogue includes details of other constitutional benefits from the president The government and the formation of the new government, especially since France is a supporter of the integrated basket for the solution, and makes it clear that there are questions that have begun to revolve around sponsoring the dialogue, its management and its form without meaning that it has become by virtue of the meeting, as it is necessary to know the positions of the various parties because any dialogue as it was previously, is not The axis of support for the opposition team, and this has become known to Le Drian.

The circles themselves ask whether Le Drian will present the nucleus of an initiative, or if he wants the parties to confirm their immediate response or study the proposal to return once more, and among the questions that some consider legitimate is whether the dialogue will take place to choose a name from a list of candidate names that includes among them the head of a movement. Marada, former deputy Suleiman Franjieh and former minister Jihad Azour, or not. She believed that the matter required specific clarification and that only the French delegate might provide answers.

She says that Lauderban must include alternative endeavors, especially if the proposal for dialogue will reach a dead end, given that the date of his second visit to Beirut is approaching, and then the picture crystallizes as to whether there is a written proposal or a specific French paper on the dialogue and its facts, noting at the time He himself pointed out that this new move by Ludrian coordinates it with the presidentially influential countries and can only be included in the context of pushing the merit forward, and here it is permissible to say that the presidential file will not go beyond the current complexities and therefore the vacancy will not end soon.

As for the government, the circles believe that what Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri said that necessities allow for prohibitions, in his reference to the issue of appointments from the government. The vacancies that may be prolonged, pointing out that from the beginning of the road, the task of conducting business has been defined in the narrow sense, and this does not mean that a file such as appointments, especially in the main centers, is difficult to pass in the absence of a president of the country, and any step other than that means opening a door to the government that cannot be closed. It leads to exacerbating the situation and fabricating a wide problem that wears a sectarian character.

The ministers of the national movement tend to openly reject the extension for first-class employees

These circles exclude the passage of any entitlement that requires national consensus, and call for monitoring positions in this field and the exits that he is working on and whether they are compatible or not, recalling the boycott of ministers within the government and the refusal of the Ministers of the Free Patriotic Movement to extend to first-category employees, especially the Governor of the Banque du Liban, and there are parties Outside the government, they also reject this, and it talks regarding the statement of the governor’s deputies regarding the appointment indicating resorting to options related to them, which are also not clear.

The presidential file will be on a date with a new movement with Le Drian surrounded by an obsession with the failure of any endeavor as long as all political forces have their differences regarding the identity of the president and his project and what is beyond that, while prolonging the vacuum will place responsibilities on the caretaker government that require decisiveness.

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