France Inflation News: December 2023 Update and Future Projections

2024-01-04 07:52:00

By Le Figaro with AFP

Published 1 hour ago, Updated now

Energy prices increased by 5.6% year-on-year in December (compared to 3.1% in November) and those of services by 3.1% (after 2.8%) OceanProd / stock.adobe.com

Energy prices increased by 5.6% year-on-year in December (compared to 3.1% in November) and those of services by 3.1% (after 2.8%).

Inflation in France jumped slightly to 3.7% year-on-year in December, after 3.5% in November, due to “acceleration» prices of energy and services, according to provisional data published Thursday by the National Institute of Statistics (Insee). Energy prices increased by 5.6% year-on-year in December (compared to 3.1% in November) and those of services by 3.1% (after 2.8%). The prices of energy, which represents less than a tenth of the household consumption basket, would however fall over one month, unlike those of services (around half of the basket). Food prices, which had been the main driver of inflation in 2023 with a peak of almost 16% in the spring, however continued to slow down, with an increase of 7.1% year-on-year in December ( against 7.7% in November).

But the prices of fresh products followed the opposite trend, increasing by 8.8% in December, after 6.6% in November. Prices of manufactured products slowed down, to +1.4% in December year-on-year, after +1.9%. The harmonized consumer price index, allowing European comparisons, also increased in December, to 4.1% year-on-year, compared to 3.9% in November.

“Repercussions of the war in Ukraine”

In December, the Minister of Economy and Finance, Bruno Le Maire, estimated that the inflationary crisis caused by the repercussions of Covid and then the war in Ukraine was “behind us» in France, but that the level of inflation would remain “a little higher» than before the crisis, in particular due to the energy transition.

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In its latest forecasts published in mid-December, INSEE expects inflation to be 4.9% on average annually in 2023 (after 5.2% in 2022), and 2.6% over one year next June. . The Banque de France predicted that inflation would reach 5.7% on annual average in 2023 and fall to 2.5% in 2024, measured here according to the harmonized consumer price index (HICP).

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