2023-11-14 14:33:36
Finland therefore opted for the intermediate solution. “HAS through this purchase, Finland wants to indicate to Russia that it has the technological means to be able to neutralize an incoming threat, that is to say an incoming ballistic missile which would come to warn its territory“, believes Alain De Nève.
Will the presence of an anti-missile defense on the border between Russia and NATO prevent Russia, engaged for more than a year and a half in the war in Ukraine, from launching a nuclear bomb on a country? of NATO? Is this an effective deterrent? For the researcher, this question can be answered in two different ways. He distinguishes “two schools”:
“There is a first school which says: ‘Anti-missile defense systems are systems which disrupt the strategic balance of nuclear deterrence, which is ensured by the United States, France and the United Kingdom’. We might raise the level of temptation to strike NATO territory, because the Russians would like to prevent the full deployment of these anti-missile defense systems. It would therefore be a crisis accelerator.”
“And then there is another school, which says: ‘Not at all, anti-missile defense is a form of reassurance. If deterrence fails, we always have, if necessary, an anti-missile defense which might neutralize an opposing ballistic attack.“
One thing is certain, Finland is not only sending a message to Russia. She also addresses members of NATO, which she joined last April. “We must realize that, at NATO level, the system that the Finns have just purchased will be integrated into a ‘NATO’ anti-aircraft defense. So it is somewhere the contribution of Finland in anti-missile defense, certainly of its territory, but also of the territory, of allied countries“, continues the expert.
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