On the survey Opinion has carried out for Free Trade Union Movement and The daily newspaper the FRP advances by 2.3 percentage points to 22.5 percent. Also on the measurement Verian has made for TV 2 Sylvi Listhaug‘s party has progressed – here with one percentage point to a support of 17.9 per cent.
It is the highest Verian has measured the FRP to in six and a half years. At the same time, according to Opinion’s survey, the FRP is the largest in the Storting with 41 mandates – one mandate more than the Conservative Party.
Thus, the Frp continues to make progress in the surveys. In September, the FRP was measured at 18.9 per cent on average, according to the website Poll of polls. That is almost 6 percentage points higher than in January.
Both surveys also confirm the weak development Sp is in. Verian measures the government party at a support of 5.7 per cent – a decrease of 0.5 percentage points. At Opinion, Sp falls by 1.1 percentage points to 4.9 per cent.
Big difference for Ap
At the same time, there is a big difference in the measured support for Ap in the two surveys. Opinion measures Ap at 18 per cent, which is a decrease of 2.1 percentage points.
In Verian’s survey for TV 2, however, Ap advances by 3.6 percentage points to 22.2 percent. The Ap change is the only one on the measurement that is outside the margin of error.
According to Opinion’s survey, KrF’s progress of a full 2.3 percentage points from the previous survey to a support of 4.3 percent is the only change that is outside the margin of error.
Right falls on both
Opinion’s October survey as a whole: Red 5.6 (-0.3), SV 10.6 (+2.0), Ap 18.0 (-2.1), Sp 4.9 (-1.1), MDG 2.8 (-0.2), Left 5.5 (+0.2), KrF 4.3 (+2.2), Conservative 23.1 (-0.6), Frp 22.5 (+ 2.3), Others 2.7 (-2.5).
The survey was carried out between 1 and 7 October among 1,000 people. The margin of error is between 1.4 percent and 3.1 percent.
Verian’s October survey as a whole: Red 5.8 (-0.2), SV 8.7 (+0.1), Ap 22.2 (+3.6), Sp 5.7 (-0.5), MDG 3.7 (+0.5), Left 4.6 (-0.8), KrF 3.1 (-0.4), Right 24.5 (-3.1), Frp 17.9 (+ 1.0), INP 0.5 (-1.5). Others 3.3 (+1.2).
The survey was carried out between 30 September and 4 October among 1,000 people. The margin of error is between 1.4 percent and 2.8 percent.
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Norway Government
The Rise of the Progress Party (FRP) in Norway: An Analysis
In recent years, Norway’s politics have experienced a significant shift, as seen in the latest survey results from Opinion and Verian. The Progress Party (FrP), led by Sylvi Listhaug, has made significant gains, advancing by 2.3 percentage points to 22.5 percent in Opinion’s survey and one percentage point to 17.9 percent in Verian’s measurement. This marks the highest level of support for the FrP in six and a half years, making it the largest party in the Storting with 41 mandates [[1]].
The FrP’s rise is particularly noteworthy given Norway’s long-standing left-wing tradition. For the first time in 99 years, the Labour Party lost a local election to the right-wing FrP and centre-right Høyre (H) party in September 2023 [[1]]. This shift in voter sentiment indicates a growing dissatisfaction with the current government and a willingness to consider alternative parties.
The FrP’s popularity can be attributed to its stance on immigration policy and national issues, which resonate with many Norwegians. The party has historically called for stricter immigration policies and has campaigned on a platform of law and order [[3]]. As public opinion on immigration continues to shift, the FrP’s popularity may continue to grow.
Notably, the FrP has been gaining ground at the expense of other right-wing parties in Norway. According to OpenDemocracy, the FrP was once considered a far-right party, but it has since mainstreamed its politics, attracting supporters from the centre-right [[2]]. As a result, the FrP has become Norway’s third-largest party, currently represented in Parliament.
The implications of the FrP’s rise are significant for Norway’s politics. As the largest party in the Storting, the FrP is well-positioned to influence policy decisions and potentially shape the country’s future direction. The party’s leader, Sylvi Listhaug, has become a prominent figure in Norwegian politics, known for her populist rhetoric and determination to reform the country’s immigration policies.
the Progress Party’s (FrP) ascent to prominence in Norwegian politics reflects a shifting landscape in public opinion and voter sentiment. As the party continues to gain support, its influence on policy decisions and the country’s future direction is likely to increase. The international community will be watching Norway’s politics closely as the FrP’s popularity continues to grow.
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