In the night from Sunday to Monday, the NFL will see a duel between Atlanta and Kansas City. The roles seem to be quite clear beforehand, because while the home team won the playoffs The guests crowned themselves by winning the Super Bowl. For this reason alone, the Atlanta Falcons vs. Kansas City Chiefs tip is an away win. However, it remains to be seen whether this will still be the case after our detailed analysis.
Table of contents
Before our Atlanta Falcons vs. Kansas City Chiefs prediction, let’s look at the form of both teams the distribution of roles seems to be confirmedHowever, the results are not always meaningful, because even with a poor performance, it sometimes happens in football that a game is still won. This was the case recently with the visitors, who were not able to convince in their two games against the Baltimore Ravens and the Cincinnati Bengals.
Atlanta Falcons – Kansas City Chiefs odds | 3 top tips
Betting odds as of: 20.09.2024, 12:14
In search of as much value as possible, we have picked out the Atlanta Falcons vs. Kansas City Chiefs odds for a touchdown by Travis Kelce. The visitors’ tight end has not performed particularly well in the first two weeks and is therefore under pressure. The 34-year-old superstar should be able to handle this. Due to the absence of Isiah Pacheco, Kelce is also in particular focus. We are therefore sure that he will take control of the game. You can find the best betting odds for this tip bei Bet365.
Kickoff of this NFL game is on Monday at 02:20 at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The match can be watched live and in full on DAZN. All other NFL gamesincluding the new NFL Game Day Show “Fair Catch” can be found on the in-house YouTube channel.
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Atlanta Falcons – Statistics & current form
Atlanta was unable to achieve the desired success last season and lost 14 games in the regular season only seven wins from 17 gamesThe Falcons finished the 23/24 season in third place in the NFC South and thus missed the playoffsAs a result, head coach Arthur Smith had to step down and was replaced by Raheem Morris. Whether that was a good choice remains to be seen, however, as Morris was already the coach of the Atlanta Falcons for eleven games in 2020/21.
However, with four wins and seven losses, his record was not particularly good. This naturally meant that the team’s own fans were somewhat critical of the new coach’s appointment. After the 10:18 opening defeat against the weak Pittsburgh Steelers, the criticism became a little louder. 22:21 win against the Eagles However, some of the pressure was now taken off their shoulders. Raheem Morris’s team should now build on this before the game against the Chiefs.
Kirk Cousins brings a lot of experience
In 2022, the Falcons decided to sign Desmond Ridder in the third round of the draft. During his first NFL season, the youngster was able to establish himself as a starter. However, his time in Atlanta was not crowned with success, as with only 14 passing touchdowns and 3,504 yards in 19 games, his output was simply too weak. With Kirk Cousins, the home team has now signed a very experienced quarterbackk, who has proven himself in the NFL over the years.
Atlanta lacks the punch
Kirk Cousins cannot single-handedly take the Falcons’ offensive game to another level and that is the problem so far. Raheem Morris’ team is not particularly good in either the passing game (185.0 Y/G) or the running game (120.5 Y/G), because in both categories Atlanta is only in the middle of the pack in a league-wide comparison. This is also due to the fact that the home team’s O-line still very young and therefore lacks experience. This could of course be a problem, especially against Kansas City.
Speaking of problems, we have to look at the Falcons’ running defense. So far, the hosts’ defense has allowed an average of 161.5 rushing yards, which is in 27th place in the National Football LeagueIn return, Raheem Morris’ team is pretty solid against the passing game and has only allowed 156.0 passing yards per game. That is also the only real strength we have seen in the Falcons’ game so far.
Atlanta Falcons Projected Lineup:
QB: Kirk Cousins – RB: Bijan Robinson – WR: Drake London – WR: Darnell Mooney – K: Younghoe Koo
Injured and suspended players of Atlanta Falcons:
James Smith-Williams – Nate Kandman – Milo Eifler – DeMarcco Hellams – Dobert Burns
Last games of Atlanta Falcons:
Kansas City Chiefs – Statistics & current form
As the reigning champions, Kansas City is naturally one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl this season. With two wins in the first two games, the start to the new season was almost perfect. Why almost? That’s easy to explain: despite the good results, they lack dominance in the game. This is also reflected in the statistics, as the Chiefs are clearly not living up to their own expectations and even last year’s performance, especially on offense.
In addition, the Injury to Isiah Pachecowho is irreplaceable for the visitors. The running back was one of the few constants in the first two games. Since his backup, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, is also out, coach Andy Reid is faced with an almost impossible task. It will probably all come down to Kansas City having to rely on the two rookies Carson Stelle and Xavier Worthy in the running game. The latter is actually a trained wide receiver and is therefore an absolute emergency plan.
Video: NFL Game Day 3 is on the agenda and BoMo is jumping in again with renewed courage, even though the last Game Day was almost unpredictable… (Source: YouTube / Wettbasis)
Mahomes with slight weakness in form
Patrick Mahomes has already thrown in the first two games of the new season three interceptions and thus 1.5 per game. For the current best quarterback Of course, that is not the standard in the league. For comparison, in the previous season, the three-time Super Bowl winner only threw 15 interceptions in 20 games. But that is also due to the fact that he has significantly fewer reliable passing options due to the departures of Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Richie James and Kadarius Toney.
Kansas City with unusual problems
We have already touched on the problems in the offense several times. Mahomes faces a difficult task ahead of the game against the Atlanta Falcons, because the Chiefs have not been convincing in either the passing or running game. However, the quarterback rarely loses his composure and still has a number of good teammates. Travis Kelce, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Justin Watson. Juju Smith-Schuster and Skyy Moore are definitely capable of surpassing themselves.
But the problems do not stop in the offense, because the defense also had to fight with itself in the first two games. Andy Reid’s team averaged 256.5 Passing Yards and is currently the second weakest team in the National Football League. Fortunately, the Falcons are not known for their good passing game, so this weakness may not even come to the fore.
Key players of the Kansas City Chiefs:
QB: Patrick Mahomes – RB: Carson Steele – WR: Rashee Rice – WR: Xavier Worthy – K: Harrison Butker
Injured and suspended players of Kansas City Chiefs:
Isiah Pacheco – Hollywood Brown – Clyde Edwards-Helaire – BJ Thompson – Chalres Omenihu
Last games of Kansas City Chiefs:
Our Atlanta Falcons – Kansas City Chiefs tip in odds comparison 23.09.2024 – Over/Under
Atlanta Falcons – Kansas City Chiefs Direct comparison / H2H balance
The direct comparison goes unsurprisingly to the visiting team. The Chiefs won ten of the 14 duels against the Falcons and thus only lost four games. In addition, the last three games also went to KC. The H2H comparison thus underlines the bookmakers’ odds distribution once again. It is therefore not surprising that the Atlanta Falcons vs. Kansas City Chiefs betting odds suggest a victory for the away team despite the personnel concerns.
Statistics Highlights for Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs
Betting base forecast & Atlanta Falcons – Kansas City Chiefs Tipp
In the course of our detailed analysis, we have come to the conclusion that the Atlanta Falcons vs. Kansas City Chiefs tip is for under 50.5 points. This is primarily due to the home team, who have only managed to score three touchdowns and 32 points in the first two games of the new season. In addition, the Chiefs’ offense is currently a bit out of form and will also have to do without Isiah Pacheco on the next match day. We therefore expect a game with only a few points.
Key-Facts – Atlanta Falcons vs. Kansas City Chiefs Tipp
- Atlanta scored only 32 points in the first two players (⌀ 16.00)
- Kansas loses an important player with Pacheco (135 rushing yards)
- The Chiefs won the last three duels against the Falcons
Alternatively, you can put the Atlanta Falcons vs. Kansas City Chiefs odds for an away win on your betting slip. Especially when the Chiefs have their backs against the wall, Patrick Mahomes usually performs outstandingly. Overall, the visiting team is individually better staffed even without Pacheco and should ultimately prevail in a supposedly close duel. The best betting odds for this tip can be found at the tested bookmaker Bwin.
Odds probabilities for Atlanta Falcons win / Draw / Kansas City Chiefs win:
Over 46.5 points: 1.87 @Bet365
Under 46.5 points: 1.87 @Bet365
Handicap
ATL Falcons HC+3.0: 1.92 @Bet365
KC CHiefs HC-3.0: 1.83 @Bet365
Betting odds as of: 20.09.2024, 12:14