2023-05-16 15:44:31
The very famous NBA draft lottery, which determines which team will first choose the player of its choice on June 22 from the batch of the best “prospects”, including Victor Wembanyama, takes place on the night of this Tuesday May 16 to Wednesday May 17. Here is all you need to know.
But where will Victor Wembanyama play? Announced as the future n°1 of the NBA Draft on June 22, the French prodigy will know his probable future destination this Wednesday, May 17.
Established in 1985 by the NBA, this lottery is, as its name suggests, a real game of probability and chance. It concerns the 14 teams not qualified for the play-offs, having therefore ended the regular season with the worst records.
Like in the lottery
How does it work? Like the lottery. In a machine are placed fourteen ping-pong balls numbered from 1 to 14 and four of them are drawn at random to form a four-digit combination, out of 1,001 possible. Before the lottery, 1,000 of these 1,001 combinations are allocated to the fourteen teams concerned, according to a distribution determined by their balance sheet. The remaining combination is considered invalid and will be ignored if drawn.
Thus, the three franchises with the worst records are assigned 140 combinations each, which gives them a 14% chance of drawing the right one. The order is descending: the fourth worst team has 125 combinations (12.5% chance), the fifth 105 combinations (10.5% chance) and so on until the fourteenth which has only 5 combinations (0.5% chance) and therefore very little hope of winning this lottery. This system has been in effect since the 2019 draft. Previously, the odds were different.
This year, Detroit, San Antonio and Houston were the teams that completed the exercise with the three worst records. They therefore each have a 14% chance of having the right combination. Charlotte (12.5%), Portland (10.5%), Orlando (9%), Indiana (6.8%), Washington (6.7%), Utah (4.5%), Dallas (3 %), Chicago (1.8%), Oklahoma City (1.7%), Toronto (1%) and New Orleans (0.5%), knowing that Dallas and Chicago might be forced to send, in some configurations, their first-round draft picks in New York and Orlando, under the terms of a past player trade.
The draw of the combination takes place as follows: the 14 balls are placed in the lottery device and are shuffled for twenty seconds, then the first ball is removed. The remaining balls are shuffled for another ten seconds, then the second ball is removed, the process repeating for the third and fourth balls.
The team that has the winning combination will have won the right to choose first in the draft and will therefore throw themselves, barring a huge surprise, on Victor Wembanyama. The same coin toss is made to determine those who will have the second, third and fourth choices. The ten other choices, starting from the fifth, are allocated according to the balance sheet of the remaining teams, from the most to the least bad.
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