2023-07-20 04:19:26
“Lebanese Debate”
Despite the retraction of talk regarding American mediation in order to start the process of demarcating the land borders following the completion of the maritime demarcation, attention is still focused on the southern borders, following the cancellation of the tripartite meeting in Naqoura, as daily developments suggest the possibility of a problem at any friction and at any moment.
While there are many scenarios in parallel with the movement of local and external communications, the two tents of “Hezbollah” and the Israeli incursion into northern Ghajar have become in the custody of the international emergency forces, where the UNIFIL command, in coordination with both sides on both sides of the Blue Line, is working to restore the situation to what it was before. Weeks before the two tents and before the Israeli breach in Ghajar, which was confirmed by accompanying diplomatic sources in Beirut.
The UNIFIL leadership carried out a field investigation, diplomatic sources told the “Lebanon Debate”, which led to the withdrawal of the party’s tent and the survival of the second. However, tension in the border area still exists, despite the move of US Ambassador Dorothy Shea, who toured the references in Beirut, and in conjunction with the entry of the presidential advisor for energy affairs and former mediator in the maritime demarcation file, Amos Hochstein, on the line of calm in Israel.
Thus, truce is a common demand from both sides of the border, but the formula on which the security equation will settle has not yet crystallized, as revealed by diplomatic sources, who referred to proposals under discussion, but without including, at least for the time being, Regarding land demarcation between Lebanon and Israel. The sources attribute this matter to the absence of American pressure that prompted the completion of the maritime demarcation, which came at the time in response to the Israeli interest.
However, what is consistent and certain, according to the sources, is that Washington has opened the land tax file, but there are no mechanisms to proceed with any negotiations in this framework during the current period, and therefore, all the current diplomatic movement comes under one title, which is calm before starting drilling and excavation work in the region. Qana field following a few weeks.
At this point, the entitlement to renew the international forces in the south in the Security Council cannot be dropped, in light of the launch of diplomatic consultations between the member states of the Security Council, in order to devote mechanisms for the UN to deal with any breach, tension or military friction along the Blue Line, knowing Diplomatic sources consider that the security situation in the south, which “moved by magic” in the past period, is linked to a regional-international calendar on the one hand, and to political considerations on the part of both Israel and “Hezbollah” on the other. Therefore, ending the tension is the result of It is inevitable within this context, and as for field escalation, it will always remain under a certain ceiling and will not go beyond it.
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