Elections in Spain: the PP wins according to the exit box, but would not reach a parliamentary majority

2023-07-23 17:50:28

The Spaniards went to the polls this Sunday to choose the next president in an election that might end with the return of the extreme right to power. In that sense, the conservatives of the Popular Party (PP) would have achieved a wide victory, according to polls published following the polls closed. However, he would not reach the parliamentary majority since he would have acquired 150 of the 350 total seats in the Congress of Deputies.

Were 37.4 million Spaniards summoned to the polls to elect a president in elections whose polls predict the victory of the conservatives and the possible inclusion of the extreme right in a coalition government for the first time since the dictatorship of Francisco Franco (1939-1975).

The “comeback” of Pedro Sánchez and a historic opportunity for Vox: the keys to the elections in Spain

To an atypical extent, Sánchez brought forward the general elections to the hot Spanish summer. In this way, around 2.5 million voters were forced to vote by mail, a record number in the elections that were held for the first time in the middle of summer.

The scrutiny arouses great interest outside of Spain due to the possibility of it coming to power an alliance between the right and the ultra-nationalist and ultra-conservative party Voxwho questions the notion of gender violence, is skeptical of climate change, openly anti-abortion and rejects the LGTBI movement.

After the polls close, the PP wins but the absolute majority with Vox remains up in the air, according to a Sigma 2 survey

Candidates for president of Spain.

The 2 Sigma survey for RTVE and Forta gives the winner of today’s general elections to the Popular Party with between 145 and 150 seats, compared to 89 in 2019. However, it leaves the absolute majority up in the air with Vox since it grants this party between 24 and 27 seats. The 176 deputies necessary to govern would depend on the position in which the forks of both parties remain.

He Spanish Socialist and Workers Party (PSOE) would achieve between 113 and 118, compared to the 120 it currently has, according to this survey collected by Europa Presswhile summer would obtain between 28 and 31 seats, a lower figure than that achieved by We can in the 2019 elections, that counting the three deputies of More Country -who are now included in the coalition- reached 38.

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The Catalan independence parties, ERC and together they would remain equal with 9 seats each, which would mean a setback of 4 deputies for Oriol Junqueras’s party, while the CUP would achieve a deputy in Congress, compared to two in the last Legislature.

Regarding the Basque parties, eh Bildu would have 6 seats, placing itself ahead of the PNV that he would achieve 5, thus reversing the results they had four years ago, which were 6 places for the PNV and 5 for those of Arnaldo Otegi.

He BNG might obtain between one and two deputies, Canarian Coalition one seat and teruel exists between 0 and 1.

This survey includes data from the Community of Madrid, according to which, the PP would achieve between 16 and 17 seats compared to the current 10; the PSOE would remain with between 9 and 10 (now it has 10); Sumar would have one less, 6 instead of 7 and Vox would drop two, from 7 to 5.

The PP wins the elections with 150 seats and has an absolute majority with Vox, according to the Gad3 poll for Mediaset

Alberto Núñez Feijóo
The leader of the PP, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, positioned himself as the favorite in the polls for the elections.

Contrary to the polls that maintain that the PP would not reach an absolute majority if it agrees with Vox, a Gad3 poll for Mediaset determined that the ultra-nationalist and ultra-conservative party would have 31 seats, while the PP would win with 150 deputies in Congress. This way, the sum of both spaces would be 181 deputies.

On the other hand, this survey gives the PSOE the second placewith 112 seats, while Yolanda Díaz’s party would have a total of 27 deputies, and the sum of both in the left block would remain at 139 seats.

The rest of formations ERC would remain as the fourth force in Congress, with eight deputies, followed by togetherwhich would have seven seats. collectwith six seats, would give a ‘sorpasso’ to the PNVwhich would stay with five, according to this survey, while the CUP y Canarian Coalition would have one respectively, and the BNGof the.

The Government stressed the “absolute normality” in the opening of schools

Elections in Spain

The government highlighted the “absolute normality” with which the process of opening the polling stations was developed throughout Spain, where, an hour and a half later, all the polling stations were already constituted.

The polling stations opened this Sunday at 9 a.m. (Spanish time) and voting ended at 8 p.m. earlier mobilization to overcome the strong heat.

In a press conference at the Data Center installed at IFEMA in Madrid, the Secretary of State for Communication, Francesc Vallès, and the Undersecretary of the Ministry of the Interior, Isabel Goicoechea, indicated that normality marked the beginning of the electoral day with the polling stations and the provincial electoral boards constituted “without news.

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Questioned if on this occasion it was necessary to resort to substitutes more than in other elections, Vallés specified that at the moment only the percentage of constituted tables is available and he hoped to have the required data throughout the day. Also, he stated that the “system works perfectly”.

Vallès and Goicoechea will appear once more at 2:30 p.m. and 6:30 p.m. to provide the participation data during election day and the Government spokesperson, Isabel Rodríguez, and the Minister of the Interior, Fernando Grande-Marlaska, will do the same. from 10:30 p.m. to report the results of the general elections.

Pedro Sánchez, with “good vibes” following going to vote

Pedro Sánchez, voting this Sunday in Spain.

The president of the Government, Pedro Sanchezacknowledged that he has “good vibes” ahead of election day this Sunday, in which he called on citizens to participate in a “historic” mobilization so that the government that comes out of the polls is “strong” and allows Spain to “advance” over the next four years.

This was stated in statements to the media following exercising his right to vote at around 9:10 a.m. at the Colegio de Nuestra Señora del Buen Consejo (Madrid), where he was received with applause and shouts of “president, president”. He also received criticism, following being called “liar”in addition to songs that consigned “out, out”.

I have good vibes. The Spanish are the ones who are going to decide the future and progress of our country and we must listen to their voices. I encourage participation and mobilization because it is a very important moment for our country and our democracy,” said the PSOE leader who has been in power since 2018.

Pedro Sánchez voted in Madrid: “We are not favourites, but I have good vibes”

Sánchez clarified that he will spend election day with his family and will be “very expectant” and awaiting the evolution of participation. During his speech, the President of the Government thanked all the social agents that allow the elections to be held because this will demonstrate that Spain is an “impeccable” democracy.

“Thanks to all the people who are going to control the election day and thanks to all those who are going to make it possible for Spain to show the world and show ourselves what we are, an unimpeachable democracy“, held.

Added to this, he assured that these elections are also important at the international level, as demonstrated by the high interest on the part of the foreign media. “That means that what is going to happen today is going to be very important, not only for us, but for the world and Europe“, accurate.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo celebrated that “Spain can start a new era”

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

The president of the PP and candidate for presidentAlberto Núñez Feijóo, assured following casting his vote that “Spain can start a new era”. “Everything that Spain decides clearly and clearly will be good for Spain,” she assured.

In statements to the press, the main opposition candidate stressed that on this election day the Spanish “we play a lot: we risk what model we want of the country and we risk having a solid and strong government”. Like Sánchez, he was received by applause and shouts of “President, president“.

Down in the polls, Sánchez is confident of “returning” and beating the right

After casting his vote, the president of the PP assured that “whatever happens” tonight, he will continue working for the country, because it is his “passion, commitment, vocation and destiny”. Added to this, he wished that the elections take place on a “normal, calm and festive day”, at the same time that he congratulated those who had to “work a lot in recent weeks” such as those responsible for the logistics organization, postmen and Post offices.

Finally, highlighted the work of the Forces and Corps that are “guarding democracy”to those who are working as auditors and proxies, and to voters who are going to the polls “despite the temperatures, the summer season and the fact that there are millions outside their homes.”

Yolanda Díaz called on citizens to vote

Yolanda Diaz

The second vice president and Sumar candidate for the Presidency of the Government, Yolanda Diazcalled on citizens to vote in the elections on July 23 because Spain “was at stake to wake up tomorrow with more rights, more democracy and more freedom.”

I call on all citizens to exercise the right to vote. In our country for many years you mightn’t vote and I ask everyone, young people, women, pensioners, workers, to go vote,” Díaz said in statements to the media following casting his vote at the Higher Technical School of Mining and Energy Engineers in Madrid.

Spain and its future, in the heat of the polls

The leader of Sumar has said that you are “surely” are the “most important” choices for people of his generation because the next decade is “at stake.”

So, he asked to remember that “the right to vote has not fallen from heaven”. “Many have fought in this country so that we can vote freely and what we are at stake today is a lot,” remarked Díaz, who also thanked the members of the polling stations and the State Security Forces and Bodies that guarantee that one can vote “freely.”

Santiago Abascal assured that any result obtained by Vox “is going to be historic”

Santiago Abascal

The candidate for the presidency of the Government and leader of Vox, Santiago Abascalcast his vote this Sunday at 11:15 in the morning at the Cristo Rey school in Madrid.

Leaving the polling station, Abascal told the media any result that Vox obtains “in these circumstances it will be a heroic result“, since he assures that during the campaign they have not been able to have it “everything more once morest”.

Four candidates with very different profiles

Added to this, once more lashed out at the television networks, whom he accused of lying. “Yesterday on a television they were still dedicated during the night to saying that Vox is a party that laughs at the murders of women (…) It is a lie that clearly wants to influence the vote,” he said.

The impact of a victory for the right in Europe

Spain elections

A turn to the right in the fourth economy of the European Union (EU), following that of Italy last year, would also deal a new blow to the left, which now governs only half a dozen of its 27 member countries, less than a year before the bloc’s Parliament elections. An all the more symbolic blow, in the country that currently holds the semi-annual presidency of the EU.

If Vox enters the government, “the capitulation of the Spanish conservatives in the face of the extreme right would have repercussions throughout the continent“warned former British Labor Prime Minister Gordon Brown this Sunday in the French newspaper The world.

The main figures of the legislative elections in Spain

The socialist Pedro Sánchez, the conservative Alberto Núñez Feijóo, the communist Yolanda Díaz and the far-right Santiago Abascal are the main candidates in the legislative elections this Sunday in Spain.

Pedro Sánchez, the outgoing Prime Minister

Elections in Spain: Pedro Sánchez admitted his defeat.

Left for politically dead on several occasions, Pedro Sánchez, 51, has held the presidency of the government since mid-2018, when he ousted the conservative Mariano Rajoy from power through a motion of censure in Congress supported by several leftist parties and Catalan and Basque pro-independence parties.

His government, to which the radical left party Podemos entered as a partner at the beginning of 2020, managed to approve a range of laws, to legalize euthanasia, rehabilitate the memory of the victims of the Francisco Franco dictatorship (1939-1975) or allow free gender change from the age of 16.

Fluent in English, this internationally profiled economist increased Spain’s influence in European Union (EU) affairs.

A politician accustomed to coups, he hopes to deny the polls that predict his defeat in the legislative elections on Sunday, which he called by surprise following the left was defeated in the municipal and regional elections in May.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo, the favorite conservative

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

At the head of the Popular Party (PP) for a year, Alberto Núñez Feijóo managed to rebuild the ranks of the right following one of its worst internal crises.

President of his native region of Galicia (northwest) for thirteen years, the 61-year-old PP leader believes that his time has come to lead the country.

A favorite in the polls, his program can be summed up as “repeal sanchismo”, in reference to the Sánchez government, which the right accuses of having crossed red lines.

He gives as an example the pardon of the Catalan independence leaders convicted of the secession attempt in 2017 or some agreements reached to approve laws with Bildu, a Basque independence party seen as the political heir of the ETA armed organization.

A moderate politician, Núñez Feijóo, however, endorsed his party’s alliances to govern with the extreme right of Vox in various regions and municipalities, following the municipal elections in May. A partner with positions that make him uncomfortable, but whose support might be essential to form a government if he wins this Sunday.

Yolanda Díaz, the communist who united the radical left

Yolanda Diaz

Number three of the Sánchez government, the Minister of Labor, the communist Yolanda Díaz, managed to assemble Sumar, a platform with fifteen formations to the left of the socialists, including Podemos, following overcoming some very rocky negotiations.

Virtually unknown before coming to the ministry in 2020, the affable 52-year-old lawyer quickly rose to prominence in Spain’s polarizing political landscape, becoming the most highly regarded leader, according to polls.

He sponsored partial unemployment plans to avoid layoffs during the pandemic, the revaluation of the minimum wage and a labor market reform to reduce precariousness, with a negotiating spirit that unions and employers recognized.

Díaz, who hopes to reissue a government coalition with Sánchez, has as his star measure the proposal for a universal inheritance of 20,000 euros ($22,435) for every 18-year-old.

Santiago Abascal, the ultranationalist

Santiago Abascal

If just five years ago he was politically irrelevant, Santiago Abascal today dreams he is indispensable to form a government, even with him as vice president, if the conservatives end up needing the votes of his far-right Vox party.

This 47-year-old former PP militant, with worked muscles and an impeccably shaped beard, revived a marginal extreme right since the end of the Franco dictatorship in 1975.

With a preaching of frontal antagonism to Catalan separatism, received with sympathy by the electorate following the failed secession attempt of Catalonia in 2017, Vox, born as a split from the PP in 2013, became the third political force in Congress in 2019.

Beyond defending the unity of Spain at all costs, his program denies the existence of gender violence, criticizes “climate fanaticism” and is openly anti-LGBT and anti-abortion. Some ultra-nationalist and ultra-conservative positions that bring him closer to his Hungarian ally Viktor Orban.

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