2023-11-19 21:36:00
This Sunday the runoff of the 2023 Elections in which all citizens from among 18 and 70 years They have the obligation to go to vote. In anticipation of knowing who will be the next president of Argentina, many are wondering what time the first results that will be provided by the National Electoral Chamber (CNE).
As in all elections, the publication of projections is limited by the electoral ban established by the National Electoral Justice. The measure proposes, among other things, the prohibition of publishing and disseminating surveys, pre-election polls and results until following three hours before the elections close.
When will the election results be known?
If there are no unforeseen events, the voting centers will close at 6 p.m., so the publication of results and trends will be allowed following 9 p.m.. In this sense, the head of the National Electoral Directorate (DINE), Marcos Schiavi, stated that by that time there might already be a consolidated official result.
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“At the DINE we support the same approach as the Electoral Justice in regulatory terms, consisting of the fact that results cannot be published before 9 p.m. Now, in that sense, and as in the general elections, we estimate that at that time we will can publish a consolidated and representative result of the electoral contest,” said Schiavi.
It should be noted that the official data that will begin to arrive at 9 p.m. are made through the provisional scrutiny which has no legal validity and is only used to inform the population regarding the electoral trend, which can be slightly modified in the definitive scrutiny.
What are the differences between the provisional and final scrutiny?
He provisional scrutiny It is the one that takes place tonight at the DINE Computing Centers, where the telegrams signed by the authorities and prosecutors arrive at the vast majority of the tables in the country.
Over there, the data for each table is loaded and systematized, for the totalization and dissemination of the preliminary results. However, these data are never exact. They don’t even cover all the tables because there is always a small proportion of telegrams that are not sent, that have errors in their preparation or that were incomplete.
“This scrutiny has no legal validity and does not serve to proclaim elected representatives. It only serves to inform citizens,” they say from the DINE regarding the results that will be announced starting at 9 p.m.
On the other hand the final scrutiny It is carried out by the National Electoral Justice (a Court belonging to the Judicial Branch of the Nation) and begins 48 hours following the end of the elections. The result obtained in this process is the only one that has legal validity.
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This instance does cover all the tables set up for the election, since it is carried out with the documentation that arrives along with all the ballot boxes distributed throughout the country. In each counting center determined by the CNE, the scrutiny report, coming from the authorities, is compared with the tax certificatesin order to question its validity and ensure that it has not been adulterated.
If everything is in order and corroborated, there is no need to open the urn. In case of inconvenience, The security strip is broken and the votes at the table are counted. conflictive in question. During this process, each political group participating in the runoff may designate prosecutors with the right to attend the final count.
Exit mouth: what are they and how are they made?
To anticipate the results, and trying to circumvent the electoral ban, several interested parties resort to the so-called “ballot box mouth”. It is survey type It is done with voters following they have left the schools where they voted. However, this year the electoral parties indicated that they did not contract the service.
Unlike opinion polls, which ask regarding voting intention or similar data, these questions are who the voter just voted for. To do this, the consultants carry out a questionnaire of closed questions and give the voter options to choose one.
Like any survey, exit polls have a error range and it depends on whether the citizen wants to respond. Likewise, another of the issues that are contemplated is that the respondent might lie in his answer regarding the candidate he chose.
In addition to face-to-face questions at the voting centers, they can include phone calls and online questionnaires. Throughout election day, four partial cuts are made, which facilitates the generation of more consistent estimates as the day progresses.
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What are witness tables and how do they differ from exit polls?
Las witness tables are carried out through the prosecutors of the two games that reached the runoff of the 2023 elections. In this way, each authority uploads the results and minutes of its table to a own computing center who does the survey and with that they project the results.
With the witness tables, you should not wait until 10 p.m. or more to know the voting trend since the counting begins at 6 p.m. and at 7 p.m. the first data may be arriving. It should be noted that, likewise, these projections cannot be broadcast before 9 p.m.
The difference with the exit polls is that the witness tables are built with information from the scrutiny report, while the exit polls are carried out with the voters’ responses to leaving the schools. This is why the parties have opted more for The first option to know the electoral trend.
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