Will the “Drunken Master” Du Plessis be able to defend his middleweight belt? Will Mateusz Gamrot prove that he belongs at the top of the lightweight division? We predict the UFC 305 main card and tell you who to bet on efortuna.pl.
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Dricus Du Plessis (21-2) vs. Israel Adesanya (24-3)
Gregory: Dricus Du Plessis will make his first defense of the middleweight championship belt, facing the former dominant of this division, Israel Adesanya. The African fighter is a fighter whose fighting style is characterized by great unpredictability and chaos. His attacks are often disorganized, and his punches can seem a bit crazy and unconventional. However, this makes him a difficult opponent, as it is not entirely possible to predict what he will do and he can surprise his opponents with unexpected actions. Du Plessis is also known for his physical strength and determination, which allows him to put pressure on his opponents and force them to make mistakes. Even when tired, Dricus can fight perfectly. Although he makes a lot of tactical and technical mistakes, so far he has always been able to find a way out of trouble and ultimately turn the fate of the fight to his advantage.
Israel Adesanya, on the other hand, is a very technical and composed stand-up fighter. His style is based on precision, excellent distance control and the use of low kicks that gradually wear down his opponent. Adesanya has the ability to pick his opponents apart and score with single, well-balanced moves. His ability to avoid punches and counterattacks means he rarely gets caught in chaotic exchanges, making him one of the most difficult fighters to land in the middleweight division. In this upcoming fight, I predict the Nigerian will win by decision after a less than thrilling fight. With his precision and ability to control the pace of the fight, Adesanya will be able to score with low kicks and single strikes in the stand-up, mainly. By avoiding the bigger exchanges and chaos, Adesanya will likely focus on effectively breaking down his opponent, keeping him at a distance, which will allow him to gain an advantage on the judges’ scorecards and win the fight. When Du Plessis looks for the ground, Adesanya will not be able to stabilize and will rather defend takedowns efficiently, because in this respect the New Zealand fighter is always well prepared. My pick: Israel Adesanya by decision.
Basic rates for this fight are efortuna.pl are as follows:
From Plessis: 2.03
Adesanya: 1.79
Kai Kara-France (24-11) vs. Steve Erceg (12-2)
Simon: At the outset, I must state that this is a very even battle, in which both have reasonable arguments to emerge from this fight as the winner. I expect an impressive fight at a high pace and a duel that will be played on both levels with an emphasis on the stand-up. Who will prevail on the feet? I am slightly inclined to the 31-year-old resident of New Zealand. Kara-France is a fighter with a very good, technical stand-up. “Don’t Blink”, because this is the nickname of this experienced striker, bases his kickboxing significantly on kicks, or more specifically strong calf kicks, which can often be problematic for his opponents. The ranked four also have relatively high boxing skills. In this element of the fight, Kai mainly works with the left hook, with which he can often anticipate the intentions of his opponent, and also uses straight punches, struck in series. One of the most important aspects of the New Zealander’s striking game is the power of his strikes. In addition, the former interim flyweight title contender is equipped with good timing and a large reserve of endurance, so in a three-round fight, Kara-France should not worry about his condition.
Since in my opinion “KKF” may have a slight advantage in the striking area, then wrestling and grappling could be the path to triumph for Steve Erceg, who lives in Perth? As we know, the New Zealand representative’s defensive wrestling is his strongest asset, which is why I believe Erceg may have major problems taking the fight to the ground. “AstroBoy” has high skills in BJJ and has a strong offensive on the mat, which is why I think we cannot rule out the option in which the 29-year-old submits his Saturday opponent. Looking at the potential end of this battle ahead of time, in my opinion the competitor who could actually do it is Steve Erceg, although in general I would rather see the full distance in this matchup. The Australian should have his advantage in the fight, which will take place in the half-distance, despite Kai’s strong punch. Steve, who is ranked seventh in the ranking, has faster fists than his opponent. It must be admitted that Erceg is a really skilled boxer, who in this respect is one of the best fighters in the 57 kilogram category. “AstroBoy” relies on hooks, which are his greatest asset in the stand-up and the most frequently repeated action.
If we are already on the subject of repeated attacks by the representative of Australia, then he also stands out for his very solid boxing combinations and classic body kicks, specifically middle kicks and front kicks. Body kicks, despite not being used very often by Erceg, may be an interesting move on his part for this fight, because Kai has already shown in the past that he has a flawed defense against body kicks, and this thesis was confirmed by, among others, Brandon Moreno in their rematch for the interim flyweight championship. Closing the subject of this very interesting fight, despite the great versatility that the resident of Perth has, I believe that the slightly better skills of the New Zealander in the striking game, as well as his great defense of takedowns should lead him to triumph, but I am not certain about this prediction, because, as I mentioned at the beginning, predicting this fight is not an easy nut to crack and its course and final result may be decided by nuances. My pick: Kai Kara-France by judges’ decision.
Basic rates for this fight are efortuna.pl are as follows:
Kara-France: 2.34
Erceg: 1.60
Mateusz Gamrot (24-2) vs. Dan Hooker (23-12)
Gregory: “Gamer” will take on a local fighter – Dan Hooker – on the main card of the next numbered gala. Mateusz Gamrot is a versatile fighter whose fighting style is characterized by an exceptional wrestling base and world-class grappling. His ability to take down opponents and control in the clinch and trace on the ground make him a very solid challenge for every fighter. The Pole can quickly move to takedowns and maintain a dominant position, which allows him to effectively score opponents and win rounds. His condition and constant pressure on his opponent are key elements in his fights. Recently, the Pole has significantly improved his stand-up, which he may be able to show in this fight as well, although the plan for the fight on the Polish side should be simple and consist of looking for wrestling as often as possible.
Dan Hooker, on the other hand, is a seasoned striker who is known for his dynamic kickboxing style. His arsenal includes not only hard punches, but also effective kicks and knees that often result in impressive knockouts. Hooker also has solid takedown defense skills, which allows him to keep the fight standing, where he is most comfortable. His reach and ability to control distance are key to keeping opponents at bay and damaging them.
In this fight, the advantage should lie with Mateusz Gamrot, whose wrestling and grappling skills may prove too much for Hooker to handle. Gamrot will look to take the fight to the ground, attempting multiple takedowns that could bring him success. If he can consistently take Hooker down and control the fight in the clinch and on the mat, there is a good chance the judges will award him a points victory. I predict Gamrot will win by unanimous decision, based on his dominant wrestling and grappling skills. My pick: Mateusz Gamrot by decision.
Basic rates for this fight are efortuna.pl are as follows:
Gamrot: 1.27
Hooker: 3.80
Tai Tuivasa (14-7) vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik (14-5)
Fabian: The fight between Tuivasa and Rozenstruik can be safely called a clash of UFC heavyweight veterans. The Australian has already fought 15 fights under the UFC banner, while the Surinamese has fought 13. Both have a positive balance, although they generally fight with variable luck. In Tuivasa’s case, streaks are very visible. He began his adventure in the largest organization with a series of wins, then he had three defeats. He again entered a longer path of success, only to find himself in a very unpleasant position after 4 consecutive losses, all suffered before the deadline. In Rozenstruik’s case, it is an alternating pattern. For some time now, he has been mixing wins with losses, unable to stabilize his form and overcome a certain level. The differences in characteristics are primarily the way he strikes and the plan for the fight. The fighter from Surinam shows patience, counters skillfully, sets up his opponent with straight punches. He has monstrous strength in his fists, but he does not put all his power into his strikes. Tuivasa more often runs into his opponent with his whole body, following the punch. These are more sweeping flails. He takes a few bombs and then charges at his opponent. He exposes himself to uppercuts and counter-hooks. Rozenstruik is definitely the better fighter tactically, technically, and physically. He should also be superior in terms of resistance, although here both are capable of knocking each other out. His straight jabs, with which he recently massacred Gaziev, work perfectly as kryptonite for Tuivasa’s powerful, but often unsupported by a dose of caution, kicks. Jairzinho’s style will be exceptionally frustrating for the impatient Tai. At some point, the Australian will go full-on, and end up knocked out. My prediction: Jairzinho Rozenstruik by TKO in the 2nd round.
Basic rates for this fight are efortuna.pl are as follows:
Distance: 2.87
Rose bush: 1.42
Jingliang Li (19-8) vs. Carlos Prates (19-6)
Basic rates for this fight are efortuna.pl are as follows:
Li: 3.90
Plates: 1.26
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