Gaza – Israel announced, yesterday, Thursday, the killing of the leader of the Palestinian faction movement, Yahya Al-Sinwar, after clashes in one of the Rafah areas in the southern Gaza Strip.
The assassination of Sinwar raises several questions about the extent of the impact of this operation on the course of the war in Gaza, and the chances of concluding an exchange deal for prisoners and detainees, as well as the chances of stopping the war after Israel assassinated its most wanted person, and who it describes as “the mastermind of the Hamas“>October 7 attack.”
Regarding this, the Egyptian military expert, Major General Muhammad Abdel Wahed, says, “The impact of the assassination of Sinwar on the movement of the Palestinian factions will vary. From a moral standpoint, it will affect the members of the movement, as the political, military and media leader, but on the reality of the field the movement will not be affected to a great extent, given the nature of the movement.” The war that imposed the reality of cluster command.”
He explained that “the reality of the field imposed on the movement of the Palestinian factions a war similar to a street war, and not a regular war, so the leadership structure is clustered, not institutional or horizontal,” and this means that each group of fighters is the one who takes the decision and chooses the battles that it fights on the ground. .
He continued: “Therefore, we see small groups of 3 or 4 individuals going out and bombing a tank or a group of soldiers and then returning,” adding that “Hamas has the ability to continue in this way, and the battles will continue, because there is no alternative and no political approach has been proposed to stop the war.”
Regarding the possibility of Israel stopping the war after the assassination of Sinwar, its first wanted person, Abdel Wahed said that “there is no Israeli will or desire to stop the war, because it has a project in the region, and it wants to completely destroy Gaza,” noting that “Israel may announce a new list of assassinations as candidates to succeed Sinwar.” To maintain the pretext for continuing the war on Gaza.”
He stressed that Israel “will remain for as long as possible until it makes Gaza uninhabitable for human life, and forces the population to migrate out of the Strip.”
The Egyptian military expert considered that the talk about negotiations regarding the exchange of prisoners will remain an American and Israeli card on the table, without actual implementation, with the aim of “ventilation”, so that the Palestinian faction movement does not kill its prisoners, and at the same time the bombing and destruction operations in the Gaza Strip continue, for as long as possible.
He continued: “We may see America put forward a post-Sinwar initiative, and yet the bombing operations will continue several times, until the last remnants of the Gaza Strip are destroyed,” noting that “the movement of Palestinian factions may kill prisoners and the war may turn into suicide operations if it feels that it is besieged and is in the process of ending.” “.
He pointed to the absence of accountability and international support for Israel, which makes it unable to achieve what it describes as the goals of war, saying that “in the absence of the law, everything is permissible, and it has no objection to continuing the killing, on an ideological basis.”
For his part, Dr. Abdul Mahdi Mutawa, a professor of political science, believes that “the assassination of Sinwar will certainly affect the course of the war, because the Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, will be more satisfied with making the deal since he killed the primary person responsible for October 7, which will give him a moral victory.”
He stated that, in the Israeli concept, “the price must be paid” as a basic matter, meaning that “whoever kills an Israeli must be killed, even after a while,” adding that “Netanyahu will be proud that his vision was correct by increasing military pressure and continuing until Sinwar is killed.”
The expert considered that “the prisoner process will now be more flexible, because on the ground in Gaza there is no leadership that can refuse the exchange of prisoners, and the leadership will mostly be abroad, and it will be more flexible in negotiations,” continuing: “I believe that completing the deal now has a much greater chance than before.” “It will give Netanyahu an excuse to come down from the tree.”
He stressed that “Israel achieved its goals a while ago,” but this assassination “will give Netanyahu and Israel, or at least the Israeli public, to restore some kind of confidence and endure a year of war.”
Source: RT
#assassination #Sinwar #affect #war #Gaza
