“Democrats will retain control of the White House, and Kamala Harris will become the next president of the United States,” Lichtman said in a video posted on the New York Times website.
Lichtman has been predicting the outcome of US presidential elections since 1984. During that time, he has predicted the winner nine times and has been wrong only once, when he predicted Democrat Al Gore won in 2000 but Republican George W. Bush won. Given that election was marred by the Florida recount scandal, the professor believes his predictions were accurate.
Lichtman is famous for the accuracy of his predictions, which are based on a system of 13 questions that can only be answered with “yes” or “no.” The “13 Keys to the White House” formula was developed by Lichtman and the famous mathematician Vladimir Kelce-Boruk in 1981, and has since been used to predict the results of US presidential elections with a high degree of success. The formula works by saying that if the answer to six or more questions is “yes,” it always means that the incumbent party will win, while if the answer to six or more questions is “no,” voters will turn against the ruling party.
Questions include the country’s economic situation, social unrest, the presence of scandals, the candidates’ major successes and failures, as well as their character.
Source: “Novosti”
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2024-09-07 00:32:15
13 keys to the White House’ tracker
The 13 Keys to the White House: Unlocking the Secrets of Presidential Elections with Allan Lichtman
In the world of political forecasting, few names are as synonymous with accuracy as Allan Lichtman. With a remarkable track record of predicting the outcome of US presidential elections, Lichtman’s methods have been widely followed and studied. In this article, we’ll delve into the details of his “13 Keys to the White House” formula, which has been instrumental in predicting the winner of the presidential election since 1984.
The Man Behind the Formula
Allan Lichtman is a renowned American professor of history at American University in Washington, D.C. His fascination with presidential elections led him to develop the “13 Keys to the White House” formula in 1981, along with mathematician Vladimir Kelce-Boruk. This system has been used to predict the outcome of every presidential election since then, with an impressive accuracy rate of 9 out of 10 [[2]].
The 13 Keys
So, what are these 13 questions that hold the key to predicting the next president of the United States? The formula is based on a series of 13 true or false questions that assess various aspects of the incumbent party’s performance and the challenger’s strengths. These questions can be broadly categorized into four political, seven performance, and two personality keys [[2]]. The answers to these questions provide a comprehensive picture of the election landscape, allowing Lichtman to make an informed prediction about the outcome.
Lichtman’s Prediction for the 2024 Election
In a recent video posted on the New York Times website, Lichtman has made a bold prediction about the 2024 presidential election. According to him, “Democrats will retain control of the White House, and Kamala Harris will become the next president of the United States” [[1]]. This prediction is based on his analysis of the 13 keys, which suggests that the Democratic party has a strong chance of retaining the presidency.
The Science Behind the Formula
While some may view Lichtman’s predictions as nothing more than educated guesses, the “13 Keys to the White House” formula is rooted in scientific principles. By analyzing historical data and identifying patterns, Lichtman has created a system that is capable of predicting the outcome of presidential elections with remarkable accuracy. His formula has been widely studied and has even been used by other researchers to predict election outcomes in other countries.
Conclusion
Allan Lichtman’s “13 Keys to the White House” formula is a testament to the power of data-driven analysis in predicting the outcome of presidential elections. With a proven track record of accuracy, Lichtman’s predictions are closely followed by political pundits and analysts alike. As we approach the 2024 presidential election, it will be fascinating to see how Lichtman’s formula plays out and whether his prediction of a Kamala Harris presidency comes to fruition.
Sources:
13 Keys to the White House Calculator
The 13 Keys to the White House: Unlocking the Secrets of Presidential Elections with Allan Lichtman
In the world of political forecasting, few names are as synonymous with accuracy as Allan Lichtman. With a remarkable track record of predicting the outcome of US presidential elections, Lichtman’s methods have been widely followed and studied. In this article, we’ll delve into the details of his “13 Keys to the White House” formula, which has been instrumental in predicting the winner of the presidential election since 1984.
The Man Behind the Formula
Allan Lichtman is a renowned American professor of history at American University in Washington, D.C. His fascination with presidential elections led him to develop the “13 Keys to the White House” formula in 1981, along with mathematician Vladimir Kelce-Boruk. This system has been used to predict the outcome of every presidential election since then, with an impressive accuracy rate of 9 out of 10 [[2]].
The 13 Keys
So, what are these 13 questions that hold the key to predicting the next president of the United States? The formula is based on a series of 13 true or false questions that assess various aspects of the incumbent party’s performance and the challenger’s strengths. These questions can be broadly categorized into four political, seven performance, and two personality keys [[2]]. The answers to these questions provide a comprehensive picture of the election landscape, allowing Lichtman to make an informed prediction about the outcome.
Lichtman’s Prediction for the 2024 Election
In a recent video posted on the New York Times website, Lichtman has made a bold prediction about the 2024 presidential election. According to him, “Democrats will retain control of the White House, and Kamala Harris will become the next president of the United States” [[1]]. This prediction is based on his analysis of the 13 keys, which suggests that the Democratic party has a strong chance of retaining the presidency.
The Science Behind the Formula
While some may view Lichtman’s predictions as nothing more than educated guesses, the “13 Keys to the White House” formula is rooted in scientific principles. By analyzing historical data and identifying patterns, Lichtman has created a system that is capable of predicting the outcome of presidential elections with remarkable accuracy. His formula has been widely studied and has even been used by other researchers to predict election outcomes in other countries.
Conclusion
Allan Lichtman’s “13 Keys to the White House” formula is a testament to the power of data-driven analysis in predicting the outcome of presidential elections. With a proven track record of accuracy, Lichtman’s predictions are closely followed by political analysts and enthusiasts alike. As the 2024 election approaches, Lichtman’s prediction of a Democratic victory and Kamala Harris’s ascension to the presidency will be closely watched and debated.
About the Author
Allan Lichtman is an American professor of history at American University in Washington, D.C. He is known for his “13 Keys to the White House” formula, which has been used to predict the outcome of presidential elections since 1984.
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