2023-08-29 04:48:18
Buenos Aires Correspondent
Two weeks following PASO 2023, where Javier Milei prevailed in the elections, defeating the ruling party, Vice President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, remain publicly silent. July 17 was the last photo together of the head of the Senate with the minister and presidential candidate of Union for the Fatherland, Sergio Massa.
In the Unión por la Patria campaign bunker, three blocks from La Rosada, no one has an answer regarding the reasons for the thunderous silence of those who recognize him “the indisputable leadership of the ruling party”. They respond, as if they were distracted, that they are committed to launching the campaign “for a totally different election from the PASO”.
A Kirchnerist union leader said that perhaps “the best thing is for Massa to continue to be the exclusive protagonist of the campaign. If Cristina shows up, the mess starts and they start saying tricks, ‘why is she getting involved’ and they invent things. You have to let Massa walk”.
Lucas Romero, director of Synopsis Consultores, on the lack of prominence of the vice president in Massa’s campaign, said: “If you look at the scene and interpret what are the windows of opportunity that are presented to Sergio Massa to eventually build the majority winner, Cristina’s leading role does not seem to be the most appropriate strategic recommendation, apart from the fact that Cristina probably don’t have much incentive to get involved in a campaign with high chances of defeat, not to mention getting involved with a candidate who has just obtained the worst historical result of Peronism,” Romero observed.
“The problem is that it is difficult to assign Cristina the capacity to convene an electorate that surely was absent because they feel dissatisfied with the results of the government’s management,” added the consultant. Still, Romero he sees ground so that Massa can aspire to a second round.
“And in that he seems to be in better condition than Bullrich because part of a higher floor. Bullrich still has the need and the obligation to consolidate one hundred percent of the support of Together for Change, while Massa will probably feed on Grabois’s votes. In subsequent studies we are seeing that there are high chances that Massa retains Grabois’s vote and might even capture some voters from areas close to the ruling party who feel refractory to Bullrich and Milei’s proposals.
Lucas Romero understands that Massa, with “a much broader available voting radius cwith which he would be in better conditions than Bullrich to enter a second roundHe doesn’t need Cristina”, nor does he believe that the vice president wants to get involved. “I think we are going to see Massa retaining the leading role in the campaign,” Romero envisions.
From the public agenda, it is known that Cristina Fernández gave the go-ahead for two Senate committees to meet to discuss the reform of the rental law. No more is known regarding the movement in her office.
The minister (and failed candidate) Wado de Pedro, linked to the vice president, was at the Frente Renovador congress last Friday. There he said that Massa is “the right candidate for the coming Argentina.” In this game of speculation, some saw Cristina Fernández’s tacit support for Massa in the affirmation of the failed candidate.
From his environment it was learned that Máximo Kirchner promoted in deputies a project to shield Aerolíneas Argentinas to avoid any privatization attempt, as proposed by Javier Milei and Patricia Bullrich. Nothing else is known of the public agenda of who is the president of the Buenos Aires Justicialista Party.
Pablo Moyano’s complaints are still fresh: “If we don’t get our act together and don’t react, they will take over as governors, mayors. Let our space go out to the military. I can’t understand the inaction of space. The vice president does not speak, the President does not speak, the governors do not speak. As a Peronist militant it catches my attention”.
The Unión por la Patria campaign team is designing a federal tour of the candidate. The Peronist governors say that now they will put all their efforts behind Massa.
In the 2019 PASO, the Frente de Todos obtained 5.7 million more votes than the Unión por la Patria last 23A. Together for Change lost 1.4 million votes compared to four years ago. “The sum of the votes lost by the two coalitions gives the votes of Javier Milei”pointed out the political consultant Raúl Timerman to radio El Destape.
“Now we have to go out on the field to seek the votes,” said national deputy Hugo Yasky. “There were provinces where not a finger was moved; I know that this was not the case in Buenos Aires”, clarified the CTA leader. “Cristina is a reference that she should gravitate to once more and she will measure her time,” Yasky limited himself to saying regarding the silence of the vice president.
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