Mainland China avoids becoming too deeply involved in past yearRusso-Ukrainian WarThen, in February, a 12-point Russia-Ukraine peace plan was suddenly proposed. “Nikkei Asia” reported on the 9th that the reason may be that military experts on the ground predicted that the war would come to an end this summer.
According to reports, the reason for Lu’s sudden change of course can be traced back to a report submitted by the top think tank “Academy of Military Science of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army” in December 2022.Sources close to the Chinese government said that the Academy of Military Sciences of the People’s Liberation Army has completed a simulation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the results obtained point to the end of the war around the summer of 2023.Russiaprevailed, also saying that the economies of both Russia and Ukraine would be too exhausted to sustain the war through the summer.
Nikkei Asia pointed out that the results of the report may be distorted in favor of Russia to please the Chinese leaders who are inclined to Moscow, but the US $45 billion aid package to Ukraine also expires this summer.Among the Republican majority in the U.S. House of Representatives, there are some lawmakers who are interested in largesseUkraineBe skeptical. “I don’t know what will happen to the US aid from autumn onwards,” said a senior official in the Japanese prime minister’s office.
According to reports,BeijingAfter listening to the predictions of the Academy of Military Sciences of the PLA, the authorities launched a peace plan on the first anniversary of the Russo-Ukrainian War, aiming to achieve three goals: restore relations with Europe, maintain friendly relations with Ukraine, and play a role in promoting a ceasefire. leading role.
The report also wrote that the Chinese PresidentXi JinpingRussia is considering accepting the invitation of Russian President Vladimir Putin to visit Moscow. A source familiar with land diplomacy said that the trip to Russia “cannot come too early or too late”. The best situation will be that Xi Jinping will introduce the peace plan to Putin, Russia and Ukraine Negotiations then began, a move that would paint mainland China as a true interlocutor and put it in a strong position to draw the global South to its side, especially with both China and the U.S. at arm’s length those countries.