College Football Bowl Predictions and Analysis | Experts Deliver Insider Info, Sign Up Now!

2023-12-02 08:00:00

Sign up for the Until Saturday newsletter | Jayna Bardahl and The Athletic’s college football staff deliver expert analysis on the biggest CFB stories five days per week. Get it sent to your inbox.

The committee has spoken: No. 1 Michigan vs. No. 4 Alabama in the Rose Bowl and No. 2 Washington vs. No. 3 Texas in the Sugar Bowl. Having incorrectly predicted FSU would make it, the ripple effect on the rest of our bowl lineup was massive.

The ACC champion ‘Noles are now locked into the Orange Bowl, with a heck of a consolation prize: A date with No. 6 Georgia. Ole Miss takes Louisville’s place in the New Year’s Six pool, playing Penn State in the Peach Bowl. It’s Ohio State-Missouri in the Cotton Bowl and, a mild surprise, Oregon vs. Liberty in the Fiesta. With the Flames edging out SMU, the AAC’s lineup below the New Year’s Six changes.

The ripple effect of Ole Miss moving up is the SEC will now be two short on eligible teams for its Nos. 3-8 bowls. We have Memphis taking their spot in the Liberty Bowl. It’s unclear which other SEC bowl will go dark, but we’re guessing the Music City. Meanwhile, with Louisville out, every ACC team (save for Notre Dame in Orlando) got moved. We have the Cardinals in San Diego, but the Gator Bowl is a possibility as well.

Stay tuned for more developments.

GO DEEPER

Georgia loses to Alabama: Possible CFP scenarios

A few bullet points:

• All 82 qualifiers are known and the pairings are released Sunday. There were 79 teams eligible. James Madison and Jacksonville State filled two spots as second-year transitional squads. Minnesota was the only 5-7 team to qualify with the best Academic Progress Report (APR).

Friendly reminder: Bowls rarely choose teams in order of conference standings. When you see USC listed as “Pac-12 No. 4,” it does not mean the Trojans are the Pac-12’s fourth-place team but that the Holiday Bowl uses its No. 4 pick to select them.

Another note: If ESPN is listed following a team, that means ESPN Events has the selection for that bowl game. ESPN Events owns and operates 18 bowls and picks from a pool of mostly Group of 5 teams. All times ET.

The fine print:

* Replacement for a conference without enough eligible teams
** Projected 5-7 team

New Year’s Six

BowlDateTeamsLocationTime

Cotton

Dec. 29

Missouri (at-large) vs. Ohio State (at-large)

Arlington, Texas

8 pm ET

Peach

Dec. 30

Ole Miss (at-large) vs. Penn State (at-large)

Atlanta

Noon ET

Orange

Dec. 30

Florida State (ACC) vs. Georgia (SEC/Big Ten/ND)

Miami

4 pm ET

Fiesta

Jan. 1

Oregon (at-large) vs. Liberty (Group of 5)

Glendale, Ariz.

1 pm ET

Rose

Jan. 1

No. 1 Michigan vs. No. 4 Alabama

Pasadena, Calif.

5 pm ET

Sugar

Jan. 1

No. 2 Washington vs. No. 3 Texas

New Orleans

8:45 pm ET

Remaining Bowls

BOWLDATETEAMTEAMLOCATIONTIME

Independence

Dec. 16

West Virginia (Big 12 No. 7)

Cal (Pac-12 7)

Shreveport, La.

9:15 p.m.

LA Bowl

Dec. 16

UCLA (Pac-12 6)

Boise State (MWC 1)

Inglewood, Calif.

7:30 p.m.

New Mexico

Dec. 16

Fresno State (MWC)

New Mexico State (ESPN)

Albuquerque, NM

5:45 p.m.

Cure

Dec. 16

Tulane (ESPN)

Troy (ESPN)

Orlando, Fla.

3:30 p.m.

New Orleans

Dec. 16

Louisiana (Sun Belt)

Jacksonville St. (C-USA)

New Orleans

2:15 p.m.

Myrtle Beach

Dec. 16

Georgia State (ESPN)

Ohio (ESPN)

Conway, SC

11 a.m.

Famous Toastery

Dec. 18

Appalachian State (ESPN)

Western Kentucky (ESPN)

Charlotte, NC

2:30 p.m.

Frisco

Dec. 19

Texas State (ESPN)

Wyoming (ESPN)

Frisco, Texas

9 p.m.

Boca Raton

Dec. 21

USF (ESPN)

Marshall (ESPN)

Boca Raton, Fla.

8 p.m.

Gasparilla

Dec. 22

UCF (ESPN)

Toledo (ESPN)

Tampa, Fla.

6:30 p.m.

Hawaii (official)

Dec. 23

San Jose State (MWC)

Coastal Carolina* (AAC)

Honolulu

10:30 p.m.

Vegas

Dec. 23

Utah (Pac-12 3)

Maryland (Big Ten 4)

Las Vegas

7:30 p.m.

68 Ventures

Dec. 23

South Alabama (Sun Belt)

Eastern Michigan (MAC)

Mobile, Ala.

7 p.m.

Idaho Potato

Dec. 23

Utah State (MWC)

Arkansas State (ESPN)

Boise, Idaho

3:30 p.m.

Armed Forces

Dec. 23

James Madison (ESPN)

Air Force (ESPN)

Fort Worth, Texas

3:30 p.m.

Birmingham

Dec. 23

Texas Tech (ESPN)

Duke (ACC/SEC)

Birmingham, Ala.

Noon

Camellia

Dec. 23

Bowling Green (ESPN)

Old Dominion (ESPN)

Montgomery, Ala.

Noon

Guaranteed Rate

Dec. 26

Minnesota** (Big Ten 7)

Kansas (Big 12 6)

Phoenix, Ariz.

9 p.m.

First Responder

Dec. 26

Rice (ESPN)

Georgia Southern (ESPN)

University Park, Texas

5:30 p.m.

Quick Lane

Dec. 26

Syracuse* (Big Ten 8)

NIU (MAC)

Detroit

2 p.m.

Texas

Dec. 27

Oklahoma State (Big 12 4)

Texas A&M (SEC 3-8)

Houston

9 p.m.

Holiday

Dec. 27

Louisville (ACC 2-4)

USC (Pac-12 4)

San Diego, Calif.

8 p.m.

Duke’s Mayo

Dec. 27

Kentucky (SEC 3-8)

North Carolina (ACC 5-7)

Charlotte, NC

5:30 p.m.

Military

Dec. 27

SMU (AAC)

Virginia Tech (ACC 8)

Annapolis, Md.

2 p.m.

Alamo

Dec. 28

Oklahoma (Big 12 2)

Arizona (Pac-12 2)

Saint Anthony

9:15 p.m.

Pop-Tarts

Dec. 28

Kansas State (Big 12 3)

Notre Dame (ACC 2-4)

Orlando, Fla.

5:45 p.m.

Pinstripe

Dec. 28

Rutgers (Big Ten 6)

Miami (ACC 5-7)

Bronx, NY

2:15 p.m.

Fenway

Dec. 28

Boston College (ACC 10)

UTSA (AAC)

Boston

11 a.m.

Liberty

Dec. 29

Iowa State (Big 12 6)

Memphis* (SEC 3-8)

Memphis, Tenn.

3:30 p.m.

Sun

Dec. 29

Clemson (ACC 5-7)

Oregon State (Pac-12 5)

El Paso, Texas

2 p.m.

Gator

Dec. 29

NC State (ACC 2-4)

Auburn (SEC 3-8)

Jacksonville, Fla.

Noon

Arizona

Dec. 30

UNLV (MWC)

Miami of Ohio (MAC)

Tucson, Ariz.

4:30 p.m.

Music City

Dec. 30

Northwestern (Big Ten 5)

Georgia Tech* (SEC 3-8)

Nashville, Tenn.

2 p.m.

Citrus

Jan. 1

Iowa (Big Ten No. 2)

Tennessee (SEC No. 2)

Orlando, Fla.

1 p.m.

ReliaQuest

Jan. 1

Wisconsin (Big Ten No. 3)

LSU (SEC 3-8)

Tampa, Fla.

Noon

GO DEEPER

FSU coach ‘disgusted’ by CFP decision

(Photo of Jalen Milroe: Kevin C. Cox / Getty)

1704131541
#College #football #bowl #projections #FSUGeorgia #Orange #OregonLiberty #Fiesta

Leave a Replay