2023-11-10 16:11:36
The final home runs of the BetPlay-2 League might not be more exciting, close and with a reserved forecast, in which two groups of four teams will fight to reach the final of the tournament. Group A, made up of Águilas Doradas, Tolima, Junior and Deportivo Cali and B with Medellín, América, Nacional and Millonarios, are proof that any of these clubs have the ability to reach the final. However, big data predicted which teams are most likely to compete for the title.
In the A quadrangular, Águilas has perhaps one of the most striking records, since the short tournaments began in 2002: having been undefeated since the round-robin phase, with 12 wins and 8 draws. Therefore, although they will face rivals with more history such as the sharks, sugar workers and pijaos, they have an advantage following achieving the so-called invisible point.
In B, there is a dispute that reminds us of 29 years ago, when the format of the tournament was annual and was played over a single home run, at which time Nacional emerged champion. Now, powerful, ambassadors and scarlets want to reverse history in the so-called group of death. Although the red paisa is on top, following obtaining the benefit of being seeded and not being able to tie on points with it.
But, although on paper the picture looks confusing, Matics, a big data portal that is responsible for making predictions according to statistics, released its study in which it shows the possible finalists of this second part of the tournament.
“In the post-round-robin analysis, we explore the teams’ probabilities of advancing to the final phase of their respective groups. The evaluative process covers key elements: historical performance at home and away, recent performances both at home and away, schedule of pending matches with emphasis on home field, invisible point and probable goal difference,” Matics explained in his analysis. .
According to the items determined previously, the statistics showed that in Group A, the team that would be a finalist is Águilas Doradas, with 54.3%, in second line appears Junior with 30%, while Tolima and Cali remain with barely 11.6% and 4%, respectively.
But in the other table, the probabilities are narrower: America would be the one to compete in the final with 42%, but it would be a fight with the DIM, which is a strong candidate with 38.5%. Incredibly, Nacional and Millonarios, finalists of the previous tournament, have the lowest possibilities, 11.4% and 8.1%, respectively.
In addition, this portal determined what the points threshold would be for the clubs that would reach the final: in A, the figure would be 13 points, with a 20.4% probability, 11 points with 15.6%, 12 points with 14%, while the possibility of the invisible point advantage being definitive is 17.9%.
In B the prevailing score is 11 with 24%, then it follows, 13 with 18%, 12, 17.3%
and the invisible point 20.1%.
So the League-2 title would be played between Águilas-América, an unprecedented final between both teams.
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