2023-10-12 15:00:00
Who are Belgians’ favorite political figures?
Wallonia: The first place of the PS, the breakthrough of the PTB, the dismay of Ecolo
The PS widens the gap and unquestionably takes first place in our survey in Wallonia. The Socialists, who total 27.2% of voting intentions, experienced a slight increase of 1.1% compared to the electoral results of 2019 (26.1%).
In second position, the MR collects 20.6%. The Liberals’ score remains stable compared to their 2019 result (20.5%).
Recording the greatest progress, the PTB comes close on the heels of Georges-Louis Bouchez’s troops. Raoul Hedebouw’s party totals 19.2% of voting intentions, or 5.4% more than in 2019.
Far behind the far-left party, Ecolo lands in fourth place in the ranking with 11.6% of voting intentions. Environmentalists fell by 3.3% compared to their 2019 score (14.9%).
Our political survey: Écolo pays dearly for its government stakes
In fifth place, Les Engagés are stable with 11.1% of voting intentions. In 2019, they received 10.7% of the votes in Wallonia.
Finally, DéFi also remains on the same line as during the last elections. François De Smet’s party obtained 4.5% of voting intentions, which represents an increase of 0.4% compared to their score in 2019 (4.1%).
Results of our survey in Wallonia ©IPM GraphicsVariations of results compared to the 2019 elections ©IPM Graphics
Brussels: The MR triumphs, the PTB takes off, Ecolo retreats
The MR takes first place in the ranking in the Brussels Region, dethroning the PS which came first in the capital during the 2019 elections. The Liberal party brings together 19.7% of voting intentions. It therefore progresses compared to its 2019 score (17.5%).
Relegated to second place, the PS totaled 18.8% of voting intentions. Paul Magnette’s party gains 0.3% compared to its 2019 result (18.5%).
Socialists in a strong position to take the post of Prime Minister
The PTB, which made the biggest progress, occupies third place on the Brussels podium. The far-left party received 15.3% of voting intentions and therefore saw its score clearly increase (+4.7%) compared to the 2019 election, where it obtained 10.6%.
In fourth place, the environmentalists fall: Ecolo totals 13% of the votes in our survey while the party gathered 15.5% of the votes in 2019.
Behind Ecolo, DéFi brings together 6.9% of voting intentions. The party is therefore far from its 2019 result in Brussels (10.3%) and records the biggest decline (-3.4%).
As for the Engagés, they barely exceed the electoral threshold, with 5.1% of voting intentions, losing 0.7% compared to 2019. They are even overtaken by the N-VA, which takes sixth place with 5.3% of voting intentions (an increase of 2.1% compared to 2019). We then find Groen (4.2%), Vlaams Belang (4.2%), Open Vld (3.3%), Vooruit (1.3%), PVDA (1%) and CD&V (0 .8%).
The results of our survey in Brussels ©IPM Graphics
Flanders: Vlaams Belang big winner, Vooruit in clear progress, the Open VLD plummets
Vlaams Belang is at the top of our survey in Flanders. Relegating the N-VA to second place on the podium, the far-right party received 23.3% of voting intentions. It achieved an increase of 4.7% compared to its 2019 result (18.6%).
Although they are in second place in the ranking, the Flemish nationalists have recorded a clear decline. They went from 25.5% of the vote in 2019 to 20.4% in our survey.
In third place, Vooruit made the biggest progress compared to the last elections. The Flemish socialists recorded 16.1% of voting intentions in our survey, compared to 10.8% of votes in 2019. Note that our survey was carried out before the racist remarks made by Conner Rousseau were revealed, but well following that accusations of sexual offenses have tarnished the president of Vooruit.
The CD&V received 13.9% of voting intentions and occupies fourth place in the ranking. It experienced a slight decline compared to 2019 when it received 14.2% of the votes in Flanders (-0.3%).
In fifth place, the PVDA recorded good progress. The far-left party totals 8.8% of voting intentions, an increase of 3.2% compared to the 2019 election when it received 5.6% of the vote.
Groen finished in sixth position in our survey in Flanders. Flemish environmentalists gathered 8.2% of voting intentions, a slight decline (-1.6%) compared to their 2019 result (9.8%).
Recording the biggest loss, the Open VLD tumbled to seventh place in the ranking in Flanders. The Flemish liberals obtained 7.9% of voting intentions. They lose 5.6% compared to their 2019 result (13.5%).
The results of our survey in Flanders ©IPM GraphicsVariations of results compared to the 2019 elections ©IPM Graphics
Technical sheet
This survey was carried out by the Kantar institute via an online survey from September 10 to October 9 among 436 voters living in Wallonia, 566 voters living in Flanders and 545 voters living in Brussels with the right to vote in the 2024 national elections. Their representativeness was weighted according to the Belgian population according to age, level of education, professional status and province. The maximum margin of error is 4.4% in all three regions.
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