2024-08-13 13:42:00
Israel late last monthassassinationHamas leader in TehranChaniaIran may attack Israel this week in retaliation. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi recently had a phone call with Iranian Acting Foreign Minister Bagheri. He strongly condemned the assassination, saying it seriously violated Iran’s sovereignty, security and dignity, and expressed Beijing’s support for Tehran in defending its sovereignty, security and national dignity.
The interviewed scholars concluded that China’s top diplomats did not call on Iran to exercise restraint during the phone call. Instead, they emphasized that sovereignty and security should be defended. This was an indirect signal and a disguised encouragement for Tehran to counterattack against Haniyeh’s assassination.
Tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate due to the assassination of Haniyeh. The U.S. White House warned on Monday (August 12) that Iran may launch a major attack on Israel in the near future; the Israeli military stated that it was on the highest alert.
According to information released on the official website of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China, Wang Yi had a telephone conversation with Bagheri at request on Sunday (11th), focusing on exchanging views on the situation in the Middle East.
Wang Yi reiterated China’s position that it firmly opposes and strongly condemns the assassination, believing that it directly undermines the ceasefire negotiation process in Gaza and affects regional peace and stability. Wang Yi also said that China supports Iran in safeguarding sovereignty, security and national dignity, working hard to maintain regional peace and stability, and is willing to maintain close communication with Tehran.
Bagheri said that Iran will resolutely defend its national sovereignty, security and territorial integrity, and looks forward to China playing a greater role in easing the situation and promoting security in the Middle East. The official website of the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not release any information about the high-level phone call between the two countries.
On August 7, Wang Yi had separate phone calls with Egyptian Foreign Minister Abdel Ati and Jordanian Foreign Minister Safadi, who are neighboring Israel. He said that violence for violence will only intensify conflicts, and Haniyeh’s assassination in Tehran will push the regional situation into a more dangerous situation. , making the ceasefire in Gaza even more elusive.
Wang Yi also said that Beijing will continue to stand together with Arab countries, support all efforts that are conducive to achieving a permanent and comprehensive ceasefire in Gaza, avoid further escalation of conflicts and confrontations, and promote the relaxation of the situation in the Middle East as soon as possible.
Dr. Cai Shengrong, a researcher at the Institute of Middle East Studies at the National University of Singapore, analyzed in an interview with Lianhe Zaobao that judging from the news released by Beijing, Wang Yi not only did not ask Tehran to exercise restraint during the call, but also emphasized that sovereignty and security should be defended. “This is a way to tell Tehran that it should fight back” in order to resolve the embarrassment of serious security breaches in Iran.
Zhu Ming, a researcher at the Fudan Western Institute of International Finance in Chengdu, said in an interview that China’s stated position is that it supports Iran in safeguarding its national security. At the same time, it also knows that Tehran is not capable of large-scale retaliation.
Zhu Ming pointed out that most of Iran’s retaliations against Israel in history were loud and small. Because the two countries are thousands of kilometers apart and Israel’s air defense is complete, Tehran is unable to launch a large-scale ground war, nor can it launch a large number of missiles to engage in a war of attrition.
Coupled with Iran’s internal political differences and the continued U.S. military aid to Israel, Tehran has launched amassive revengeThe possibility is very low. Zhu Ming expected that Iran might disclose information about the attack through a third party in advance to prepare the United States and Israel. In this way, it not only appeases domestic radical forces through political revenge, but also controls the actions to a certain scope and intensity.
Cai Shengrong also concluded that Iran may have shared some counterattack plans with China during the phone call on Sunday. It is expected that Tehran will launch a well-thought-out, carefully planned, and measured counterattack, which may be as powerful as the drones and drones launched against Israel in April this year. Missile strikes are similar.
1723623579
#Beijing #supports #Tehran #defending #sovereignty #security #analysis #encourage #Iran #retaliate #Israel #disguise #Lianhe #Zaobao
