Estonia has a plan to end the war in Ukraine by 2026.
Estonia has published a document outlining its strategy for the war in Ukraine: kill or injure Russian soldiers and destroy its military equipment faster than the Kremlin can mobilize reserves, and the war will end by 2026.
A recent national security policy document released by the Estonian Ministry of Defense states that Ukraine and its allies will inevitably defeat Russia if its supporters remain united, and that the Ukrainian military currently kills and injures more than ten thousand Russian soldiers every month.
The document “Ensuring Transatlantic Defense Success: A Military Strategy for Ukraine’s Victory and Russia’s Defeat” argues that the decisive factor in this conflict, which has become a war of attrition, is the West’s ability to devote sufficient military industrial resources to Ukraine’s defense of its own country.
“The total defense budget of the Ramstein coalition is more than 13 times larger than the vastly inflated Russian defense budget: €1.24 trillion against €0.09 trillion in 2023. There should be no doubt as to who has the upper hand to win,” the document states.
The defense review prepared by the government of Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas, a supporter of NATO’s tough stance against Russia, states that in 2024 Ukraine and its allies should focus on strengthening the Ukrainian armed forces, especially improving the ability to destroy Russian military equipment and service personnel.
The Estonian Ministry of Defense document is not yet official policy and is intended for internal evaluation and informal discussion with allies.
The document assesses that Russia’s recruitment and military production capacity is limited and that it is unlikely to be able to provide enough equipment for 40,000 recruits every six months. The document states that the number of casualties is already so unfavorable that the longer the fighting continues, the less Russian troops will be able to attack and hold positions.
Telegram photo of R. Kadyrov/
At least 50,000 dead and seriously injured every six months
“Therefore, the goal should be to reduce the number of Russian troops by at least 50,000 killed and seriously wounded every six months in order to consistently degrade the quality of Russian forces, preventing Russia from regaining offensive combat power, which Ukraine has so far successfully achieved,” the document said.
Due to the heavy losses in Ukraine, the diminishing capacity of Russian combat units will force the Kremlin to introduce conscription and will likely lead to major civil unrest or, failing that, greatly increase the success of future offensives in Ukraine against weak and demoralized Russian defenses.
According to the official accounts of the Kremlin, the losses of Russian soldiers in Ukraine are acceptable to them, and the morale of the units is strong. Speaking on national television recently, Russian President Vladimir Putin said his country’s invasion of Ukraine, a so-called “special military operation,” is going according to plan and will end when Ukraine surrenders.
But during a three-hour question-and-answer session, the Russian leader may have inadvertently confirmed long-standing Ukrainian claims that Russian military losses in Ukraine have been horrendous.
Commenting on the progress of the war and the mobilization of reserves, Putin said that 244,000 Russians had been mobilized and that 486,000 Russians had become volunteers, so that there are currently about 617,000 Russian soldiers fighting in Ukraine.
The commentators hastened to emphasize that, taking into account the fact that in 2022 February. 190-250 thousand troops were initially deployed during the invasion of Ukraine. soldiers, V.Putin’s figures mean that more than 300,000 soldiers have been removed from the current Russian combat. soldiers
Russia’s war losses were last officially announced in 2022. in September it was just under 6,000, after which the Kremlin did not release a death toll. US media, based on declassified national intelligence, have estimated that at least 315,000 Russian troops have been killed or wounded in Ukraine, a figure of just 10 percent. lower than the calculations of the Ukrainian army.
0.25 percent GDP for military support to Ukraine
“Successful transatlantic defense against the threat requires renewed political will and resources worthy of past and present sacrifices.” Giving only 0.25 percent annually. About 120 billion of GDP would be allocated for military support to Ukraine. EUR – more than enough resources to implement this strategy. This should be agreed at the level of heads of state and government under the auspices of the Ramstein coalition,” the document says.
According to the analysis, almost 100,000 Ukrainian fighters have already been trained at a cost of approximately 350 million. euros, and there are enough opportunities to expand training, as well as “increase and focus on setting and implementing new qualitative goals, so that the Armed Forces of Ukraine can properly fight at the battalion, brigade and higher levels.”
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2024-07-28 14:15:03
