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The 67th race to be held at Nakayama Racecourse on the 25thArima Memorial(GI, turf 2500m) data analysis for the past 10 years.
Winning the 1st place in the fan vote, it will be the 15th horse in history to win the Spring/Autumn Grand Prixtitle holderWinning the Zenso Emperor’s Award AutumnEquinoxlast year’s champion and horse of the yearEfforiawon the Queen Elizabeth CupGeraldinaChampion of Japan CVera Azul16 horses, including 7 GI horses, are scheduled to run.
Here is a hint for prediction “previous race rotation” will be analyzed.
■ The Kikka Sho and Japan Group C have been sluggish in recent years
In the past 10 years, the most three wins have been in the previous race.Chrysanthemum AwardIn the group[3.1.2.7]Win rate 23.1%, Top 2 rate 30.8%, Double win rate 46.2%. However, following the world premiere of 3rd place in 2019, he has not appeared in the betting ticket. Last year, the title holder Kikuka Shouma was 4th favorite and 5th, and Stella Veloce, who was 4th favorite, finished 3rd and 4th.
1st[2.0.2.1]2nd[0.0.0.1]3rd[0.0.0.2]4th[1.0.0.1]6th or lower[0.1.0.2].Basically, the first place in the Kikkasho is a good run condition, and the second place this yearBordoghushthirdJustin Palaceis tough.
[Arima Memorial]Rote ahead of the last 10 years
Kikkasho[3.1.2.7]Win rate 23.1%, 2-2 rate 30.8%, Double win rate 46.2%
Japan C[2.2.5.47]Winning rate 3.6%, Top 2 rate 7.1%, Double win rate 16.1%
Emperor’s Award Autumn[2.2.1.12]Winning rate 11.8%, top two rate 23.5%, multiple win rate 29.4%
Arc de Triomphe[1.1.2.3]Win rate 14.3%, Top 2 rate 28.6%, Double win rate 57.1%
Cup of the Republic of Argentina[1.0.0.5]Winning rate/Top-to-two rate/Multiple win rate 26.7%
Cox Plate[1.0.0.0]Winning rate/Two rate/Multiple win rate 100%
Queen Elizabeth Cup[0.2.0.18]Win rate 0%, 20%/20% win rate 10.0%
Golden Shachi Award[0.2.0.13]Win rate 0%, 2nd/2nd win rate 13.3%
The second win following the previous race, the Kikka Sho group, is the previous race.Japan CGroup,Emperor’s Prize/Autumnset. The previous run, Japan C group, was out of the betting ticket following Chevalgrand, who finished third in 2018, and there are only four consecutive wins between Japan C and Arima Kinen, including Deep Impact in 2006. In the past 10 years, the Japan C 1 finisher is[0.1.1.2].Vera Azulcannot be centrally viewed in the data.
■ Be wary of Akiten-gumi and Eri-jo-gumi as trends
The trend in recent years is the Emperor’s Award, Autumn Troupe. Last year’s Efforia won the Emperor’s Award in Autumn and Arima Kinen in a row, and in 2020, the Emperor’s Award in Autumn 3rd place, Chronogenesis, was crowned, and Fieremann, who came in 2nd place, also entered 3rd place, making it a betting ticket for 4 consecutive years. is involved in The first horse is[1.1.0.1]. In 2019, almond eye cried once morest the distance wall and sank to 9th place, but the Emperor’s prize horse in autumn can be seen as the center.Equinoxis the main axis.
previous raceArc de Triomphe AwardThe group is the last 10 years[1.1.2.3]. The 2013 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, Orfevre, is the only winner, but last year’s 14th-place Deep Bond finished second, and 7th-place Chronogenesis finished third.11 winners of the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphetitle holder18th placedeep bondis a “buy” even if the previous run is a crushing defeat.
In addition,queen elizabeth cupThe pair is[0.2.0.18]. In 2017, No. 8 favorite Queen’s Ring finished 2nd, and in 2020 No. 11 favorite Sarakia finished 2nd.Geraldinacan’t be underestimated.On the other hand,Takarazuka MemorialThe set is[0.0.0.1]. Although the number of samples is too small to make a judgment, the second round of autumn is[3.1.1.31]and the third round of autumn is[6.6.7.64].Direct from Takarazuka KinenEfforiawill be a test for
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