As of: 09/15/2022 11:55 p.m
The majority of residents believe that there will be power or gas failures in their own four walls next winter ARD Germany trend respondents do not. However, 83 percent expect that jobs will be lost.
The war in Ukraine and the associated energy crisis is keeping people in this country busy and making them concerned not only regarding further increases in costs, but also regarding the effects on the labor market. This is how 83 percent of the ARD Germany trend for the morning magazine respondents that jobs will be lost due to high gas and electricity prices. Only 13 percent do not expect unemployment to rise as a result of high energy prices.
Concern regarding the German labor market runs through all sections of the population and is largely shared by supporters of all parties. Income also plays a minor role in this question. Among the people who have less than 1,500 euros net per month, 78 percent of those surveyed expect a loss of jobs in Germany. For those who have more than 3500 euros in monthly net household income, the figure is 82 percent.
Majority does not assume power and gas failures
Germans are less pessimistic regarding the energy supply in winter. Just over every third German citizen (36 percent) expects that there might be failures in the electricity and gas supply at home. Instead, 59 percent of those surveyed assume that the energy supply will continue to be stable in the coming months. A look at party affiliation shows that only in the ranks of AfD supporters is the majority (64 percent) expecting that there might be supply problems with electricity or gas.
Worries regarding being overwhelmed by high energy bills are not currently affecting the majority of Germans either. More than half (55 percent) do not expect problems in meeting payment obligations to their energy suppliers in winter. However, 39 percent of those surveyed see difficulties in paying their energy bills. In particular, younger Germans under the age of 35 (50 percent) and households with an income of less than 1,500 euros a month (58 percent) stated that they were unable to pay bills or would have considerable difficulties paying them.
According to the Sunday question, traffic light parties no longer have a majority
The traffic light coalition would, according to the ARD Germany trend currently no longer has a majority in the Bundestag. If elections were held next Sunday, the Union parties would get 28 percent (plus one). According to the Sunday question, the Greens remain in second place with 21 percent (minus one). The SPD follows with an unchanged 17 percent. The AfD improves to 14 percent (plus one). The FDP drops to seven percent (minus one). Five percent is still predicted for the left. The traffic light parties would therefore only reach 45 percent together. But a black-green alliance would be possible.
investigation facility
Universe: Eligible voters in Germany
Collection method: Random telephone and online survey
Survey period: September 13-14, 2022
number of cases: 1224 respondents (801 telephone interviews and 423 online interviews)
Weighting: according to sociodemographic characteristics and recollection of voting behavior; Sunday question with separate weighting
fluctuation range: 2 percentage points for a share value of 10 percent
3 percentage points for a share value of 50 percent
Implementing institute: infratest dimap
Results are rounded to whole percentages to avoid false expectations of precision. Because for all representative surveys, fluctuation ranges must be taken into account. In the case of a survey with 1000 respondents, these amount to around three percentage points for large parties and around one point for smaller parties. In addition, the rounding error is significant for small parties. For these reasons, no party below three percent is shown in the Sunday question.
