To the monitoring that the NHC had been giving to an area of disturbances with potential for cyclonic development, a new area of interest is now added in the Central Caribbean, which could develop as a tropical depression.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has updated its forecast on activity in the Caribbean Sea, indicating the presence of a second area of interest, this time located in the Central Caribbean, south of the island of Hispaniola.
This new area of disorganized rain and storms is associated with a tropical wave and is slowly moving westward.
Development conditions
The NHC highlights that environmental conditions in the central Caribbean region could favor a gradual development of the system in the coming days.
There is a 10% chance the system will become a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.
However, the chances of formation increase to 50% in the next 7 days, when the system could transform into a tropical depression while over the western Caribbean.
This new area of tropical disturbances should join the already existing low pressure zone in the western Caribbean, which has also been closely monitored by the NHC due to its potential for development.
Both areas reflect the cyclonic activity that still persists in the Caribbean, despite being close to the end of the official hurricane season, on November 30.
Monitoring and recommendations
The NHC continues to closely monitor both areas in the Caribbean, and recommends that authorities and residents of the affected areas stay informed of updates.
Although November generally has less cyclonic activity, significant storms such as Hurricane Michelle, which hit Cuba in 2001, have shown that the region remains vulnerable at this time of year.
Meteorologists advise the population to follow official reports and be prepared for any eventuality in case these systems intensify in the coming days.
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**Interview with Dr. Emily Carter, Meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center**
**Editor:** Thank you for joining us today, Dr. Carter. We’ve seen an update from the National Hurricane Center regarding a new area of interest in the Central Caribbean. Can you tell us more about this development?
**Dr. Carter:** Absolutely. We are currently monitoring a new area of disorganized rain and storms just south of Hispaniola. This region is associated with a tropical wave and is slowly moving westward. There is potential for this system to develop into a tropical depression in the coming days.
**Editor:** That sounds concerning. How does this new area of interest compare to the previous disturbance the NHC was monitoring?
**Dr. Carter:** The previous disturbance was further east and had already shown some signs of organization. In contrast, this new system, while not entirely structured yet, poses a different kind of risk due to its movement and proximity to land. It’s important for residents in the Caribbean to stay informed as conditions can change rapidly.
**Editor:** Speaking of residents, what advice do you have for people living in areas that might be affected by these developments?
**Dr. Carter:** We strongly encourage residents to stay updated with local forecasts and heed any alerts from the NHC or local meteorological services. It’s also vital to have a hurricane plan in place, including supplies and evacuation routes, in case the situation escalates.
**Editor:** Thank you for that valuable information, Dr. Carter. Is there anything else you’d like to add about the ongoing situation?
**Dr. Carter:** Just that we recommend everyone remain vigilant. The hurricane season can be unpredictable, and the best defense is to be prepared and informed. Our team at the NHC is dedicated to providing real-time updates and analyses to keep the public safe.
**Editor:** Thank you, Dr. Carter, for your insights. We appreciate your time and expertise on this important matter.
