Analyzing the Miami Marlins: Did They Move Too Quickly with Luis Arraez Trade?

2024-05-07 10:06:36

From the moment the MLB Miami Marlins decided to trade Luis Arraez, it was determined that the team would be on the rebuilding path this year. They only made the playoffs last year. Logically, they should be promising now and continue to win. Even if they decide to sell, I feel like they can wait until the trade deadline before shelving them. Did the Marlins move too quickly? But looking closely at the team’s performance over the past two years, we can actually understand the current situation of selling the batting champion.

Luis Arraez。(MLB Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images)

Luis Arraez。(MLB Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images) (Norm Room via Getty Images)

The first thing to understand is: are they really on the path to victory? It started last year. After the unexpected death of star pitcher Jose Fernandez, the Marlins liquidated their key players and sold them at auction. Although they performed well in pitcher development, no hitters were replaced. is not very abundant, and most of the picks for international free agents and amateur drafts are mainly affordable players. This creates a situation in which the team’s physical condition is poor and the farm system is inferior. In addition, some teams in the National League East are willing to spend money to strengthen their teams in recent years, and their strength has kept the Marlins in the lower class for a long time.

However, this situation was broken last year. In addition to surprisingly poor performances against a few powerhouse teams, like the San Diego Padres, New York Mets, and other optimistic preseason teams, there were also teams like the Chicago Cubs. which fell behind in the second half of the season. The bad situation allowed the Marlins to seize the opportunity to go against the grain. General manager Kim Ng was able to target the team’s weaknesses in several transactions last year, such as the sale of Pablo López. the Minnesota Twins before the season. In exchange for Arraez, or the mid-season acquisition of Josh Bell, Jake Burger and other Gunners, these hitters have provided good firepower support since arriving in Miami last year, compensating the Marlins’ long wait. ongoing problem with bad hitters. With God’s help, they finally make it back to the playoffs.

But do they really perform so well on paper? Looking at the team results, the team’s score difference is -57 points, which is quite unsatisfactory for a team in the playoffs, no one has such an ugly point difference. Difference matches with a luck component have been a league-best 33 wins and 14 losses. These two data points combined show that the Marlins were really lucky to reach the playoffs last year.

The Miami Marlins 2023 playoff roster. (Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images)The Miami Marlins 2023 playoff roster. (Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images)

The Miami Marlins 2023 playoff roster. (Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images) (Sarah Stier via Getty Images)

Therefore, after the start of the season, although the pitchers continued to be injured and the team’s pitching performance declined significantly, in terms of hitting, the main force was almost still there. Only Burger was missing at the start of the season and wRC+ fell. back to 80, reaching the bottom of the league again. Therefore, it is not so much bad luck, being returned to its original form may be more consistent with the current description of this team.

The Marlins’ success last year was more like an accident, but considering that the resources that the team can provide are really very limited, Wu Peiqin’s operation must still be given a positive evaluation. However, she left after last year’s season. and the boss wants to Find a more experienced front office to serve as president, it’s like adding another director above Wu Peiqin. For a professional manager who took the team from a bad team with a 90-loss level to a playoff level. This was undoubtedly a problem for her profession, so it is no wonder that she eventually left on her own initiative, which also put the eventually assembled management team back together again. For example, highly regarded head coach Skip Schumaker. also confirmed that he will leave after taking charge this season, and the ball. The team has always been under-resourced. In fact, there were rumors of Arraez being sold before the season. Additionally, there were rumors of trades for Jesús Luzardo, a powerful left-hander, or Jazz Chisholm Jr., a new generation of cricket star.

Jesus Luzardo (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)Jesus Luzardo (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

Jesus Luzardo (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) (Jim McIsaac via Getty Images)

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There are various signs that the Marlins may understand that last year’s success wasn’t entirely due to their true strength and lack of salary cap space. There are still many problems to be solved, but it is also a fact that the team has succeeded. It can’t be due to his physical fitness. The problem disintegrated the team instantly, that is, they suddenly started moving toward a winning path, but they also knew that their own problems would be serious enough to affect the playoffs. The team’s future path, so they adopted a “fight and go” approach from the preseason, but the pitcher injury was really serious and the opening season record fell, which showed that the team finally recognized the facts and caught up. mind, instead of giving up too soon and rushing to see a doctor.

The Marlins still have many great pitchers. This is an advantage that many teams in the league have been unable to possess. However, the resources that the team can use are really too limited, whether it is salary expenses in the major leagues or training. in the minor leagues, and even evaluation systems such as scouting, at least in the last two drafts, if there is still no way to increase the intensity of investment, as a fan of the Marlins, you might be forced to continue watching the team. attract a group of recruits to the big leagues. It’s a miserable situation to pay a lot of tuition fees in the league.

[Chronique Yahoo Sports]The article reflects the opinion of the author only and does not represent the position of Yahoo!

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