An asteroid could hit Earth on Valentine’s Day in 2046

The asteroid has a 0.18%, or one in 560, chance of hitting Earth on that day. The rock is regarding 49.29 meters in diameter, slightly larger than two tennis courts, and orbits the sun regarding every 271 days.

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The asteroid, which NASA calls 2023 DW, is currently rated at one on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale, which measures impact risk. The scale ranges from zero to 10, with zero meaning there is no chance of hitting Earth and 10 meaning a catastrophic collision is certain.

This text is a translation of an article from CTV News.

According to NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS), a level one on the Torino scale means the asteroid is “a common find in which a near-Earth pass does not pose of unusual danger”. CNEOS says current calculations show the odds of the asteroid hitting Earth are “extremely unlikely and need not cause public concern or public attention”. New observations will most likely lead scientists to assign the probability of impact to level 0.

2023 DW will have nine more opportunities to collide with Earth. However, NASA calculates that there is at least a 99.99% chance of missing all of these opportunities.

“We are tracking a new asteroid called 2023 DW, which has a very low chance of hitting Earth in 2046. Often when new objects are discovered, it takes several weeks of data to reduce uncertainties and adequately predict their orbits years to years. the future,” NASA’s Planetary Defense Coordination Office said in a tweet on Tuesday. “Orbit analysts will continue to monitor asteroid 2023 DW and update forecasts as new data arrives.”

About ten years ago, an SUV-sized meteorite exploded over Russia, injuring nearly 1,000 people and causing around $33 million in damage.

-A text by Joey Chini for CTV News

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