On August 15 Afghan Taliban Three years of coming to power will be completed. In this period Afghanistan Various news have come out about the economic and social situation of Afghanistan, but the most important question is what has changed in the life of an ordinary Afghan citizen and how was their economic situation.
In this report, we have compared the economic situation of Afghanistan before the Taliban came to power and their performance in the last three years with the available data.
Growth explanation
Before the Taliban came to power in 2021, the growth rate of the Afghan economy was increasing. In 2019, the economic growth rate was close to 4 percent, with the majority of it coming from agriculture, but in 2020, the growth rate remained close to negative 2 percent due to the corona epidemic.
In 2021, the Taliban’s military operations in Afghanistan reached its peak and on August 15, 2021, they seized power. In that year, the economic growth situation fell to an alarming level and the growth rate was negative 20 percent.
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Since the bad economic situation in 2021, the situation is gradually improving. In 2022, the growth rate was negative 6 percent, while in 2023, this rate has become stagnant (i.e. zero). According to the forecast of the World Bank, Afghanistan’s economy will remain stagnant even in 2024.
poverty
According to the Asian Development Bank, in 2016, 54.5 percent of the total Afghan population was forced to live below the poverty line.
In 2020, according to the World Bank, the situation improved somewhat and this rate came down to 47.1 percent. According to the United Nations, this rate has been 48 percent in 2023.
Dollar rate
On August 14, 2021, the US dollar rate was 80 Afghani. Within four months after the Afghan Taliban took over the government, the dollar rate had increased from 20 afghanis to 102 afghanis.
However, from January 2022, the dollar rate began to decline and by 11 August 2024, the rate had fallen to 70 afghanis, which is even lower than the rate before the Taliban took over.
Inflation
Inflation was already rising in Afghanistan when the Taliban took over. According to World Bank data, prices of household goods started to increase from January 2021. According to the World Bank, behind this increase was the increased military activities of the Taliban.
Compared to July 2020, the price of basic household goods increased by 13.6 percent in July 2021, while the increase reached 24.2 percent in August 2021.
However, since April 2023, inflation in Afghanistan has decreased substantially compared to the previous year. From April 2023 to April 2024, average inflation has decreased by 2 percent per month compared to the previous year.
Hospitals and health systems
Regarding Afghan data, according to the National Statistics and Information Authority, the government agency, the total number of government hospitals across the country in 2021 was 189. 16 government hospitals have been added during the Taliban regime, bringing the total to 205 by May 2024.
Crime across the country
After the Taliban came to power, according to official data, crime has decreased.
In the first quarter of 2021, the total number of crimes recorded across Afghanistan was 4,396, while in the last quarter of 2023, a decrease in the number of crimes has been recorded. In the last quarter of 2023, three thousand eight hundred and sixty five crime incidents were reported.
Note: World Bank and Afghan government data have been used for this report.
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2024-08-16 02:30:14
