A Closer Look at Jenin’s Missile Attempts and the Potential Israeli Operation: Updates, Analysis, and Implications

2023-06-27 16:07:49

Jenin’s missile attempts bring a lightning Israeli operation closer in the north

The primitive missile attempts in Jenin in the northern West Bank bring an Israeli military operation in the north, after the Israeli army tried to rule out such an option, but it will be limited and governed by a period of time between 12 and 48 hours only, according to Israeli sources.

The sources said that the army is discussing a lightning operation in the northern West Bank, after armed men attempted to fire two missiles from Jenin at nearby settlements, which is the second failed attempt in two months. A source said that the proposed operation “is closer than ever.”

And the Hebrew “Kan” channel confirmed that the Israeli security establishment is discussing an operation in the northern West Bank targeting two factories and factories that manufacture explosive devices and missiles.

Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper said that the recent events put everyone at the beginning of a new era. The newspaper’s military analyst, Yossi Yehoshua, wrote that although there are no actual missiles reaching Afula from Jenin, unlike in the past, it can be estimated that a “limited military operation” is closer than ever.

Responding with a limited operation in the north is an option that came after the army resisted this idea, which was originally proposed after the army rejected a large-scale operation in the north of the West Bank. The Israeli right pressed it to implement it after a bloody confrontation in Jenin about 10 days ago, in which Palestinian fighters used large explosive devices that damaged Israeli armored vehicles. , before two Palestinians killed four Israelis in an attack on the “Eli” settlement in the middle of the West Bank, thus raising the demands for the massive operation.

“Yediot” said that after increasing demands for the implementation of a large-scale military operation, the matter was discussed again to find out the extent of its need, before a limited and not a broad operation was proposed, the aim of which is not to occupy areas or a long presence, but rather to harm the armed infrastructure, and bring a price for achieving necessary deterrence. It was a proposal that Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant objected to, as did senior army officials.

However, it seems now, according to “Yediot”, and in light of this development and assessments of the situation, that the possibility of this action has increased, and there are indications about the army’s intention to embark on this operation, including the reinforcement of the military forces in the West Bank with additional units specialized in operating within Palestinian cities.

The Israeli army had confirmed, in a statement, that homemade shells were fired from Jenin towards an Israeli site, on Monday, but they “exploded inside the Palestinian territories,” and did not result in any injuries. The army said that the two shells posed no danger and that there were no injuries.

The image of the missile circulated by the Palestinians on social media

A preliminary investigation showed that one of the two shells landed 5 meters from the place from which it was fired, while the other landed 80 meters away. Although the attempt was a failure, for Israel it “constituted a remarkable and dangerous development.”

Israel learned of the attempt after activists circulated a video clip via Telegram from a group calling itself the “Ayyash Brigade”, which was apparently named after Yahya Ayyash, the most prominent explosives maker in the “Hamas” movement in the West Bank in the 1990s, who He was later assassinated by Israel in the Gaza Strip, while firing two missiles.

The video showed the first missile launching into the air, then getting out of control, and the second failing to launch. The group posted similar footage in late May.

Israel looks very seriously at such attempts in the West Bank, given the close distance of Israeli cities and settlements from the West Bank, part of which is located in the heart of the West Bank. Ronen Bar, head of the Shin Bet, Israel’s General Security, described these attempts as a dangerous precedent.

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Settlers argue with the Israeli border police near the Eli settlement in the West Bank (EPA)

The right-wing Regavim Association said, “The threat of the emergence of a terror state in the heart of the State of Israel is materializing before our eyes.” She added, “This threat must be addressed before the sound of sirens in the north and center of the country becomes routine.”

It is not known to what extent the military operation will achieve its goals or contribute to an escalation of tension. One of the reasons that prevented a major operation in the northern West Bank, in the past, was concern about opening multiple fronts, weakening the Palestinian Authority and pushing it to disintegrate, and attracting international criticism.

Israeli officials said they would refrain from dramatic steps that would cause the PA to collapse, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that Israel has an interest in the PA remaining.

Israeli-Palestinian talks

Gallant held talks with the Secretary of the Executive Committee, Hussein Al-Sheikh, in an attempt to revive the deteriorating relations and calm tensions.

Israeli media said, on Tuesday, that the two sides discussed the recent increase in “hostilities,” and insisted on the common need to calm the situation on the ground, for the sake of the Israeli and Palestinian populations in the region.

Gallant assured Hussein Al-Sheikh that “the security forces will work to thwart terrorism wherever necessary.” He conveyed a message that “we must act quickly and forcefully against the centers of terror that destabilize the region,” and he pledged that the Israeli security establishment would work to bring settlers involved in attacks against Palestinians to justice.

Remote shot of the Homesh outpost (Archyde.com)

Israeli President Isaac Herzog also called President Mahmoud Abbas and condemned the settler attacks. During the phone call, which came to congratulate Abbas on the occasion of Eid al-Adha, Herzog stressed “the importance of a decisive and strong war against terrorism, incitement and hatred,” and stressed “the need to act forcefully to thwart terrorism that harms people, families and communities alike.” He stressed that he “strongly condemns the harm inflicted on innocent Palestinians by extremists in recent days.”

In addition, the army and settler attacks prompted the Israeli government to build settlement units, a situation that the authority says cannot continue, threatening measures and decisions.


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