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100 days to go until the US election: a campaign shaken by historic events
On July 28, the US presidential campaign enters its final 100 days, marked by the attempted assassination of Donald Trump, Joe Biden’s surprise withdrawal from the race and the possibility of Kamala Harris becoming the country’s first female president.
With 100 days to go until the US election, Harris is narrowing the gap with Trump and key voters will be crucial. (Photo Prensa Libre: EFE)
After weeks of infighting and doubts about Biden’s candidacy, lDemocrats’ unity around Vice President Kamala Harris has transformed a race which until now had been dominated by Trump.
Biden’s poor performance in the June 27 debate finally convinced Democratic leaders who had previously supported him that a change of candidate was necessary.
Beset by voter concerns about his age and physical and mental abilities, Biden, 81, faced a considerable disadvantage against Trump.
In fact, On July 21, the incumbent president withdrew from the reelection race and nominated Kamala Harris as the new Democratic representative.
Harris’s emergence changed the landscape somewhat. The void left by Biden’s withdrawal was quickly filled by the first black and South Asian vice president of the United States.
Yes ok American election campaigns usually last almost two years, this one in 2024 has just had a new start, which makes it in fact the shortest in modern American history.
Trump and the Republican landscape: strategies and reactions
The party convention, in mid-July, was a great Demonstration of strength and unity around Trumpwho had miraculously escaped an assassination attempt during a rally in Pennsylvania shortly before.
On Saturday the 27th and before a crowd of supporters gathered at a hockey stadium in Minnesota, the Republican He said that “in November, the American people are going to reject Kamala Harris’s crazy, progressive extremism in an overwhelming way.”
“In a short time, Harris’ ‘honeymoon’ will be over and voters will once again focus on her role as Biden’s partner and co-pilot,” she wrote in a memo. Tony Fabrizio, Trump polling expert.
Democratic strategist James Carville told MSNBC that Democrats should stop celebrating and prepare for the coming storm.
Harris and the Democratic scenario: the new candidate sets the pace of the campaign
He July 23thjust two days after being proposed to represent the ruling party in the electoral contest, Harris held the largest public event of the Democratic campaign.
In the last days, He also managed to raise US$200 millionmostly from new donors, his campaign team announced Sunday.
“We are the outsiders [forasteros] (…) that is true, but this is a campaign driven by the people”the new Democratic candidate said Saturday during a fundraiser in Massachusetts.
In this election, we face a choice between two visions for our nation: One focused on the future and the other on the past.
We are fighting for the future—and when we fight, we win.
Join the fight: https://t.co/XyIiKmltOx
— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) July 28, 2024
Harris is taking off on the back of a very successful fundraising campaign and for a renewed mobilization of the Democratic base.
The next big moment for the Democratic camp will be the mid-August convention, which promises to be a big celebration of the party’s new standard-bearer. It’s a situation that contrasts sharply with that of just a month ago.
Unprecedented elections: the challenge of key voters
The 59-year-old former senator and the 78-year-old ex-president will face off on Nov. 5 in an election that will largely rest with 100,000 voters in a handful of key states, Republican strategist Matt Terrill said.
These are “independent and undecided voters.” Inflation, immigration, the economy and crime are the issues that concern them”he claimed Terrill en BBC News.
“I think the former president Trump is doing pretty well on those issues. This election will be a referendum on the performance of those in power, who are Biden and Harris. We’ll see how it plays out,” he added.
A survey of the The Wall Street Journal showed that Harris had narrowed Biden’s six-point gap over Trump to just two. (within the study’s margin of error), thanks primarily to the growth it registered among black, Latino and young voters.
The Republican political scientist David Leewhich conducted the Wall Street Journal survey, warned in turn that Trump “is in a much better position now than he was at the same time in the 2020 election,” in which he was surpassed by Biden.
He also recalled that, based on the American electoral system, the importance of the volume of votes is relative. In 2016, Trump defeated Democrat Hillary Clinton despite obtaining almost three million fewer votes.
A similar warning came from the former president Barack Obamafor whom Democrats remain “outsiders” who They must regain the trust of the electorate.
Despite this development, Democrats still have a long way to go to improve their prospects of victory.
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