Analysis of the Causes of JCI collapsed 1% over to the level of 7,000

Jakarta Composite Index Dips Amidst Global Economic Concerns

The Jakarta Composite Stock Price Index (JCI) started the week on a shaky note, dropping 1.4% to 7,009 within the first ten minutes of trading on Monday, February 3, 2025. This downturn signals a potential further decline of 1%, driven by a confluence of domestic and international economic factors.

Analysts point to rising inflation data and the looming threat of US trade tariffs as key contributors to this unease. Global market sentiment is also reflecting growing concerns about the global economic outlook. Despite the shortened trading week with only two sessions, market volatility is palpable.

Trading volume reached 1.9 billion shares with a transaction value of Rp 1.5 trillion across 133,796 transactions. The property and healthcare sectors bore the brunt of the decline, falling 2.13% and 1.37% respectively. Though, the most significant losses were observed among blue-chip issuers.

Two major banking stocks, PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk (BMRI) and PT Bank Central Asia tbk (BBCA), played a crucial role in the JCI’s downward movement. BMRI weakened by 3.32%, contributing 15.4 points to the index’s decline. Together, Barito renewables Energy (Bren), owned by Prajogo Pangestu, dropped 4%, contributing 11.28 points. BBCA fell 9.81 points, while Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua (Pani), a property issuer owned by Aguan, plummeted 16%, nearly touching the lower automatic reject limit, contributing 9.13% to the JCI’s decline.

Other prominent stocks, including Telkom Indonesia (TLKM), Amman mineral International (AMMN), and Goto gojek tokopedia (Goto), also exerted downward pressure on the JCI.

Conglomerate Stocks Soar, But Experts Warn of Potential Risks

October 26, 2025 – Indonesian investors are flocking to conglomerate stocks, driving a surge in share prices across the board. This wave of enthusiasm has caught the attention of financial experts, who are urging caution and emphasizing the importance of careful risk assessment.

A recent video discussion highlights the inherent volatility of conglomerate stocks and the factors that can contribute to market instability.the message is clear: investors need to stay informed and approach their investments with a measured strategy.

“Many conglomerate shares are being aggressively pursued, but be careful – they are prone to sudden drops,” the video warns, underscoring the potential for rapid market swings.

Market Volatility: Dissecting the Indonesian Stock Market Downturn

The Indonesian stock market, as reflected by the Jakarta Composite Stock Price Index (JCI), has experienced a recent downturn, leading many investors to seek clarity. Arif Setiawan, a market analyst at PT InvestaPrima Securities, sheds light on the key factors driving this volatility.

“We are seeing a convergence of both international and domestic forces contributing to this decline,” Setiawan explains. “Globally, anxieties surrounding potential trade tariffs from the US and the continued strength of the US dollar are casting a shadow over market sentiment, impacting Indonesia as well.

Locally, investors are closely watching upcoming economic data releases, particularly the January inflation figures, which are projected to rise due to factors like fuel price hikes and seasonal fluctuations in food prices.

Setiawan emphasizes that inflation is a significant concern for investors. “The upcoming CPI data release will be closely scrutinized,” he says. “If the number exceeds market expectations, it could further fuel anxieties and lead to increased selling pressure on the stock market.”

Interestingly,while the JCI has been declining,some conglomerate stocks have shown an upward trend. “This begs the question: are thes movements indicative of resilience, or are investors simply seeking safe havens in uncertain times?” Setiawan poses.

He cautions that investors should exercise caution, noting that rallies in conglomerate stocks can sometimes be short-lived and driven by speculative buying rather than solid fundamentals. “A thorough assessment of the long-term prospects and potential risks associated with these stocks is crucial before making any decisions,” Setiawan advises.

for investors navigating this volatile period,Setiawan offers this advice: “Focus on mitigating risk. Conduct thorough research, diversify your portfolio, and consider consulting with a financial advisor to make informed investment decisions.”

Riding the Waves: A Strategy for Uncertain Markets

The current market landscape is undeniably turbulent. In the face of this volatility, adopting a measured approach is paramount. staying informed about the latest developments and meticulously analyzing investment opportunities are crucial steps. Experts emphasize the importance of avoiding impulsive decisions driven by short-term market fluctuations.

“This volatile environment calls for a measured approach,” advises a financial strategist. “It’s crucial to stay informed about market developments, carefully analyze investment opportunities, and avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term market fluctuations.Consider diversifying your portfolio and sticking to a well-defined investment strategy.”

Diversification, they argue, acts as a crucial buffer against market swings. By spreading investments across different asset classes, you can mitigate the impact of any single asset’s performance. Moreover, adhering to a well-structured investment strategy serves as a compass, guiding your decisions and helping you maintain your long-term goals even amidst market volatility.

How are investors reacting to the potential impact of US trade tariffs on the Indonesian stock market?

Navigating the JCI Downturn: An Interview with Arif Setiawan

The Jakarta Composite Stock Price Index (JCI) began the week on a downward trajectory, falling 1.4% in the first ten minutes of trading on Monday. To understand the factors driving this volatility, Archyde spoke with Arif Setiawan, a market analyst at PT InvestaPrima Securities.

arif, what are the primary reasons behind the JCI’s recent decline?

“We’re currently witnessing a confluence of both international adn domestic economic pressures impacting the JCI. Globally, anxieties surrounding potential US trade tariffs and the persistent strength of the US dollar are casting a shadow over market sentiment. These concerns are being felt across global markets, including Indonesia.

Locally, investors are closely watching upcoming economic data releases, particularly the January inflation figures. Projections indicate a rise in inflation due to factors like fuel price hikes and seasonal fluctuations in food prices.Inflation remains a important concern for investors. The upcoming CPI data release will be closely scrutinized.If the number exceeds market expectations, it could fuel further anxieties and lead to increased selling pressure on the stock market.”

We’re seeing some conglomerate stocks show upward trends despite the overall market downturn. Is this a cause for concern, or simply a flight to safe havens?

“That’s a great question, and it highlights the complexity of the current market dynamics. While some conglomerate stocks are rallying, it’s crucial to analyse the underlying reasons for these movements. Sometimes, these rallies can be driven by speculative buying rather than solid fundamentals in these uncertain times. Investors seeking “safe havens” might be driving some of this activity.However, it’s important to remember that conglomerate stocks, while potentially offering stability, can also be prone to sudden drops. A thorough assessment of the long-term prospects and potential risks associated with these stocks is essential before making any investment decisions.”

What advice would you give investors navigating this volatile period?

“This volatile environment calls for a measured approach. It’s crucial to stay informed about market developments, carefully analyze investment opportunities, and avoid impulsive decisions based on short-term market fluctuations. Diversifying your portfolio across diffrent asset classes is crucial to mitigating risk. Sticking to a well-defined investment strategy can help you stay disciplined and focused on your long-term goals even when markets are turbulent. And consider consulting with a financial advisor to get personalized guidance tailored to your specific circumstances and risk tolerance.”

It’s a challenging time for investors, but by staying informed, maintaining a measured approach, and seeking professional advice when needed, you can navigate these turbulent waters effectively.