There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, the demand for solar panels in Pakistan is about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a dollar shortage, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant that distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp**
**Interviewer:** Thank you for joining us today, Muhammad. There has been a significant surge in solar panel imports in Pakistan recently, with 13 GW imported from China in just the first half of 2024. What has driven this remarkable increase?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. The increase in solar panel imports can be largely attributed to the growing demand for renewable energy in Pakistan. In 2023, the demand was around 3.5 GW, and this year, the situation has led Pakistan to become one of the top three markets for Chinese solar exports. People are recognizing the cost benefits and reliability of solar energy, especially considering the rising electricity prices in the country.
**Interviewer:** Interesting! You mentioned that in 2022, Pakistan faced a dollar shortage that severely impacted imports, including solar panels. How did the market adapt during that challenging time?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Yes, the situation was tough. The central bank’s restrictions on issuing letters of credit for non-essential imports meant that solar panel distributors couldn’t bring in supplies for nearly nine months. However, some panels still made it through due to the efforts of larger players who found ways around those restrictions. This created a unique market dynamic where those with access to foreign currency could capitalize on the shortages and sell at a premium.
**Interviewer:** It seems that despite the initial struggles, some unexpected players entered the solar market during this time. Can you explain that?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Certainly. The large profit margins in solar trading attracted not just traditional energy companies but also businesses from different sectors, like agriculture. For example, companies exporting rice found themselves with dollars to reinvest, which allowed them to enter the solar panel market. This inflow of new distributors significantly increased the availability of solar products in Pakistan.
**Interviewer:** Fast forward to 2024, and you mentioned that due to the influx of solar panels, profit margins have drastically decreased. What does this mean for the market moving forward?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Yes, currently, the oversupply has led to prices dropping significantly, and in some cases, panels are being sold at a loss. While this might deter some businesses from entering the market or might lead to exits, I believe the fundamentals for solar energy remain strong in Pakistan. Solar installations can still provide a good return on investment within 18 to 24 months due to the ongoing rise in traditional electricity costs.
**Interviewer:** With the rise in solar energy investment, who do you think is driving this trend?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Most of the investments are coming from both commercial and industrial sectors, including local and multinational companies deeply invested in photovoltaic technology. As Hussain Khan from Wateen Energy Solutions mentioned recently, now “everybody who has capital is going solar.” It’s become evident that solar energy is not just a trend; it’s a necessary shift in how we think about energy in Pakistan.
**Interviewer:** Thank you, Muhammad, for sharing these insights. It’s clear that the solar market in Pakistan is evolving rapidly. We appreciate your time today.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for the opportunity to discuss this vital topic. It’s an exciting time for solar in Pakistan!