There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, Pakistan will have a demand for solar panels of about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring back their dollars from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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### Interview with Hussain Khan, Director of Wateen Energy Solutions
### Interview with Hussain Khan, Director of Wateen Energy Solutions
**Interviewer:** Thank you, Hussain, for joining us today to discuss the current state of solar energy in Pakistan, particularly in light of the recent influx of solar panels from China. Can you start by giving us an overview of this situation?
**Hussain Khan:** Thank you for having me. Indeed, it’s a remarkable time for solar energy in Pakistan. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, we saw 13 gigawatts of solar panels imported from China in the first half of 2024 alone. This surge has made Pakistan the third-largest market for Chinese solar exports. Last year, we had a demand of about 3.5 gigawatts, which indicates substantial growth in this sector.
**Interviewer:** That’s an impressive number. How has the market responded to this increase in available panels?
**Hussain Khan:** The immediate effects were quite visible; solar panels were literally “seen on the roads.” However, the influx has led to a competitive market. Initially, we saw high profit margins—about 100% at times—when panels were sold for $0.30 per watt in the local market compared to a direct import cost of $0.15 per watt. This led many businesses, including those outside the energy sector, to pivot to solar panel trading to capitalize on these margins.
**Interviewer:** You mentioned earlier about some challenges that arose due to previous restrictions in 2022. How did those restrictions influence today’s market dynamics?
**Hussain Khan:** In 2022, the central bank’s foreign exchange crisis severely restricted the import of non-essential goods, including solar panels. This situation, however, created opportunities for larger players who could navigate these restrictions, allowing them to establish a stronger market presence once imports resumed.
**Interviewer:** Now that the market is stabilizing and the supply of solar panels is high, what are the trends you’re observing for 2024?
**Hussain Khan:** Interestingly, the high availability of solar panels is starting to compress profit margins. We’re seeing reports of panels being sold at a loss in some scenarios. Despite this, investment in solar energy remains strong, particularly from commercial and industrial sectors. Everyone with capital is moving towards solar energy as a reliable investment since the return on investment typically materializes within 18 months to two years.
**Interviewer:** And how do you see the future of solar power in the context of increasing electricity prices in Pakistan?
**Hussain Khan:** Even if net metering becomes less advantageous, solar remains a solid investment option as electricity prices keep rising. Factors such as currency devaluation, high transmission losses, and demand fluctuations will continue to impact electricity costs, further enhancing the appeal of solar energy solutions.
**Interviewer:** Very insightful, Hussain. Lastly, what advice would you give to potential investors in Pakistan’s solar energy sector?
**Hussain Khan:** I would advise them to carefully evaluate the long-term benefits of investing in solar energy. The technology is proven, and with the current pricing dynamics and government policies supporting renewable energy, solar can be a path to independence from fluctuating energy costs. Those who embrace this technology can position themselves favorably in the evolving energy market.
**Interviewer:** Thank you for your time, Hussain, and for shedding light on the solar energy landscape in Pakistan.
**Hussain Khan:** Thank you! I appreciate the opportunity to discuss this crucial topic.