There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, Pakistan will have a demand for solar panels of about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring back their dollars from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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What are the main challenges and opportunities facing the solar market in Pakistan today?
**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp**
**Editor:** Thank you for joining us today, Muhammad. Pakistan has seen a surge in solar panel imports recently. Can you provide some insights into the current solar market landscape in Pakistan?
**Mujahid:** Absolutely. The figures are quite staggering. In the first half of 2024, we imported around 13 GW of solar panels from China, which has significantly transformed our market. Early reports indicate that demand for solar panels is expected to reach about 3.5 GW in 2023 alone. This influx has made Pakistan the third-largest market for solar exports from China.
**Editor:** That’s quite impressive. However, there were challenges in previous years, especially in 2022 regarding currency shortages and import restrictions. How did these factors affect the solar industry?
**Mujahid:** Indeed, 2022 was a challenging year for us. The central bank’s dollar shortage led to strict import restrictions, which meant that only essential goods could be imported for almost nine months. This impacted solar panel distributors significantly. Despite these hurdles, larger players in the market adapted well, finding creative solutions to bring in some panels.
**Editor:** Interesting. We heard from Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions that the profit margins for solar panels were quite high, even reaching 100%. How has the market adjusted to these dynamics?
**Mujahid:** Yes, the profit margins drew in many businesses, even those outside the solar sector. Companies that traditionally exported rice began importing solar panels, capitalizing on the high demand. However, with the current saturation of the market in 2024, we are seeing profit margins decrease, and in some cases, panels are being sold at a loss. It has become a volatile environment.
**Editor:** It sounds like the market has cooled off quite a bit. Given the rapid changes, do you foresee long-term growth in the solar sector in Pakistan?
**Mujahid:** I believe there is potential for growth, especially as investments from multinational and local companies in photovoltaic technology continue. The demand for renewable energy remains strong due to rising electricity prices and the government’s push for sustainable energy solutions. However, the market dynamics will continue to evolve, and businesses that adapt quickly will succeed.
**Editor:** what is your perspective on the future of solar energy investments in Pakistan?
**Mujahid:** The future appears promising. While challenges persist, solar energy remains one of the most straightforward investments, typically generating returns within 18 months to two years. Even with reduced profitability in net metering, ongoing public demand for affordable energy will sustain interest in solar investments.
**Editor:** Thank you, Muhammad, for sharing your insights. It’s clear that while the solar market is currently in transition, there’s a bright future ahead for renewable energy in Pakistan.