There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, the demand for solar panels in Pakistan is about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant that distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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What factors have contributed to the recent surge in solar panel imports in Pakistan?
**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp, on the Solar Panel Surge in Pakistan**
**Interviewer:** Thank you for joining us today, Muhammad. There’s been a significant increase in solar panel imports in Pakistan, especially from China. Can you explain how we arrived at this point?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. Yes, the surge in solar panel imports is quite remarkable. In the first half of 2024 alone, Pakistan imported 13 GW of solar panels. This increase follows a tough period for the country’s economy. Back in 2022, we faced a shortage of dollars, which led to a trade deficit and strict restrictions on imports, allowing only essential goods like food and medicine to come in. This limited the import of solar panels for almost nine months, but once those restrictions lifted, demand skyrocketed, especially with the rising costs of electricity.
**Interviewer:** What role did the economic conditions play in shaping this market?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Economic conditions are critical. The limited issuance of letters of credit during the foreign exchange crisis created a very challenging environment, but it also opened doors for some market players who could navigate the restrictions effectively. Those who had capital began to import more panels as they recognized the profit potential—prices in the local market often doubled the direct import cost.
**Interviewer:** Speaking of profits, can you tell us how the pricing landscape has shifted in recent months?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Initially, there was a substantial profit margin; however, with the influx of panels and increased competition, the market is seeing prices stabilize or even decrease. As of 2024, some sellers are even facing losses. This rapid market fluctuation was unexpected, and many predicted a longer boom cycle.
**Interviewer:** What sectors are driving this investment in solar energy?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** The momentum is primarily coming from both commercial and industrial sectors. Multinational and local companies are heavily investing in photovoltaic technology. As Hussain Khan from Wateen Energy noted, “Everybody who has capital is going solar.”
**Interviewer:** What’s the outlook for solar energy investment, considering the recent developments?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Despite current market volatility, the fundamentals for solar energy investment remain strong. Solar panel systems generally offer returns on investment within 18 months to two years. Even with decreasing profitability from net metering, rising electricity prices still make solar a financially viable option for many.
**Interviewer:** Thank you for those insights, Muhammad. As solar energy becomes more prevalent, what do you believe the future holds for Pakistan’s energy landscape?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** I believe we’re at a critical juncture where solar energy can vastly improve energy independence and sustainability. If we navigate market challenges wisely and continue fostering local and foreign investments, we can significantly shape a greener future for Pakistan. Thank you for the opportunity to share these insights.
**Interviewer:** Thank you, Muhammad, for your valuable time. We look forward to seeing how this market continues to evolve in Pakistan.