There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, the demand for solar panels in Pakistan is about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant that distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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How might recent changes in profit margins affect the future sustainability of the solar energy market in Pakistan?
**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp**
**Editor:** Thank you for joining us today, Muhammad. There has been a significant influx of solar panels in Pakistan, particularly with the recent import of 13 GW from China. Can you provide some insights into how this has impacted the market?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. The massive influx of solar panels has transformed the market landscape in Pakistan. We’ve seen a sharp increase in demand and visibility; solar panels are literally “seen on the roads.” This growth has pushed Pakistan to become China’s third largest market for solar exports.
**Editor:** That’s impressive! However, in 2022, there were significant challenges with dollar shortages and import restrictions. How did these factors influence the market?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** It was quite a challenging time. The central bank’s decision to limit imports to essential goods left many distributors without the ability to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months. However, some panels still made their way into the market despite the limitations, primarily because the bigger players managed to navigate the situation more effectively.
**Editor:** Hussain Khan from Wateen Energy Solutions mentioned that the profit margins were substantial when solar panels were being sold at $0.30 per watt compared to a direct import cost of $0.15 per watt. With those figures, it’s no wonder many jumped into the market. What are your thoughts on this?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Absolutely, those profit margins were very attractive, and they drew in a lot of investors from various sectors, including agriculture. Interestingly, companies that originally focused on exporting rice shifted gears into solar panel distribution, utilizing their dollar returns to capitalize on the solar market.
**Editor:** We’ve heard that the market dynamics are changing again in 2024, leading to lower profit margins and, in some cases, solar panels being sold at a loss. What do you think caused this shift?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** The market has become saturated, and the unexpected volume of panels has driven prices down. We didn’t anticipate many players exiting the market so quickly, especially after the initial boom. Capitalists were making remarkable profits, but now the scenario has shifted rapidly.
**Editor:** With significant investments from both local and multinational companies in photovoltaic technology, do you see a sustainable future for solar energy in Pakistan?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Yes, I do. Despite recent challenges, investment in solar energy is still robust, particularly from the commercial and industrial sectors. The cost savings post-installation continue to make solar systems a wise investment, even if the market stabilizes at lower profit margins.
**Editor:** What are some of the enduring benefits of solar energy for consumers, especially amidst rising electricity costs?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Solar energy provides a hedge against rising electricity prices, which are influenced by factors such as currency devaluation and governance issues. Even with net metering revenues declining, the long-term benefits of solar installation remain significant for consumers.
**Editor:** These insights are quite valuable, Muhammad. Thank you for taking the time to discuss the evolving solar landscape in Pakistan.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me! I’m optimistic about the future of solar energy in Pakistan and the opportunities it presents for both investors and consumers alike.