There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, Pakistan will have a demand for solar panels of about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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What are the main challenges faced by importers of solar panels in Pakistan amidst the recent economic constraints?
**Interview: Solar Panel Surge in Pakistan**
**Interviewer:** Welcome, Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp, and Hussain Khan, of Wateen Energy Solutions. Thank you for joining us today to discuss the recent surge of solar panels in Pakistan.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having us.
**Hussain Khan:** It’s a pleasure to be here.
**Interviewer:** Let’s start with the current landscape of solar panels in Pakistan. Muhammad, can you talk about the significant increase in solar panel imports from China in the first half of 2024?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Certainly! The report from Bloomberg NEF indicates that Pakistan imported an astonishing 13 GW of solar panels. This influx has made solar panels quite visible on our streets. While 2023 had a demand of about 3.5 GW, it seems that Pakistan is rapidly becoming a key market for Chinese solar exports.
**Interviewer:** What factors contributed to this boom, especially considering the economic challenges Pakistan faced in the past year?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Last year, we saw a shortage of dollars which led to severe restrictions on imports, with only essential goods allowed. However, some companies still managed to import solar panels despite the challenges. Many players found ways to navigate through the lack of letters of credit, which created opportunities for those who were financially robust.
**Interviewer:** Hussain, you mentioned in previous discussions that the profit margins on imported panels are significant. Can you expand on that?
**Hussain Khan:** Yes, the direct cost of importing panels was around $0.15 per watt, while they were sold locally for $0.30 per watt. This essentially created a 100 percent profit margin for distributors. It attracted many players, even those from other sectors like rice exporters, who began to venture into solar.
**Interviewer:** What is the outlook now, given the unusual number of panels flooding the market?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Interestingly, while there was substantial profit initially, the market has changed. In 2024, with so many solar panels available, profit margins have dwindled, and some panels are being sold at a loss. Many expected a longer market lifespan for profitability, yet the saturation has occurred much faster.
**Interviewer:** Hussain, what’s the investment climate like for solar energy in Pakistan currently?
**Hussain Khan:** Investment is robust, especially from the commercial and industrial sectors. Companies spinning capital see solar energy as a straightforward investment, often achieving returns in as little as 18 months to two years, despite challenges like rising electricity prices.
**Interviewer:** what do you both think about the future of solar energy in Pakistan?
**Hussain Khan:** I believe solar energy will continue to be a vital part of our energy landscape. Even with potential reductions in net metering profitability, escalating electricity costs will keep solar a lucrative option for many.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Absolutely, despite the recent fluctuations in the market, the overall trend towards renewable energy adoption is strong, and we expect to see continued growth in this sector.
**Interviewer:** Thank you both for sharing your insights on this rapidly evolving market. It’s clear that solar energy remains a topic of great significance in Pakistan.