There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, the demand for solar panels in Pakistan is about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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What are the major challenges and opportunities presented by the recent surge in solar panel imports in Pakistan?
**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp, on the Solar Panel Surge in Pakistan**
**Editor:** Thank you for joining us, Muhammad. The recent report from Bloomberg NEF stated that Pakistan imported 13 GW of solar panels in just the first half of 2024. What does this substantial uptake of solar panels signify for the energy landscape in Pakistan?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thanks for having me. The surge in solar panel imports reflects a significant shift in our energy sector. With demand quickly rising to about 3.5 GW in 2023, there’s a clear recognition of the need for sustainable energy solutions. This influx indicates not only growing awareness but also investment opportunities in renewable energy—especially from leading exporters like China.
**Editor:** You mentioned in your previous comments that there was a major disruption in the import of solar panels in late 2022 due to a foreign exchange crisis. How did that impact the market back then?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Indeed, in 2022, the central bank’s dollar shortage created a challenging environment. There was an informal ban on non-essential imports, including solar panels, which lasted nearly nine months. Although this led to a significant gap in supply, it also opened doors for larger players to dominate the market. They leveraged their capabilities to bring panels in, while smaller distributors struggled.
**Editor:** Hussain Khan from Wateen Energy Solutions highlighted a hefty profit margin on solar panels initially—about 100 percent. How do you see the market evolving now with increased supply?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** As supply surged, those profit margins have begun to shrink. By 2024, we’ve seen some panels even being sold at a loss. This rapid entry and exit of players has led to fluctuations that are challenging for sustainability. Everyone expected this would last longer, but quick turnover has been the reality. Investors also need to consider that profitability may stabilize rather than continuously escalate.
**Editor:** What are the key factors driving investment in solar energy from commercial and industrial sectors, as you’ve described?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Clearly, the potential for quick returns is a major factor—solar systems can generate ROI in 18 months to two years. Also, with rising electricity costs due to various economic factors—like currency devaluation and governance issues—solar energy becomes increasingly attractive. For many capitalists, it’s not just about sustainability; it’s about securing their financial future.
**Editor:** Looking ahead, how do you view the future of solar energy in Pakistan, especially with entities like Wateen Energy Solutions planning significant installations?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** I remain optimistic. As awareness continues to grow and more companies step into this space, solar energy has the potential to play a vital role in Pakistan’s energy mix. Despite current market volatility, I believe investment will keep flowing into this sector, especially as international and local players see the long-term benefits.
**Editor:** Thank you, Muhammad, for sharing your insights on the dynamic solar energy landscape in Pakistan. It’s clear that while there are challenges, there are also significant opportunities ahead.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. It’s an exciting time for the industry, and I’m looking forward to seeing how it unfolds.