There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, the demand for solar panels in Pakistan is about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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How did the 2022 foreign exchange crisis impact the solar panel market in Pakistan?
### Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp
**Editor:** Thank you for joining us today, Muhammad. Pakistan has seen an incredible surge in solar panel imports this year. What do you think has driven this increase?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. The driving force behind the increase in solar panel imports, especially from China, can be attributed to the significant demand for renewable energy in Pakistan. With 13 GW of solar panels imported in the first half of 2024 alone, the need for sustainable energy solutions has clearly captured the market’s attention. In the wake of the energy crisis, companies are scrambling to invest in solar technology.
**Editor:** Interesting point. You mentioned before that in 2022 the country faced a shortage of dollars, affecting imports, including solar panels. How did that situation influence the current surge?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Absolutely. The 2022 foreign exchange crisis led to a temporary ban on imports, restricting access to solar panels for nearly nine months. This created an imbalance in the market. However, some larger players managed to navigate these restrictions, leading to a sudden surge when the ban lifted. The experience taught many in the industry the profitability of investing in solar, sparking the current rush.
**Editor:** Speaking of profits, we’ve heard reports that the cost of importing has been much lower than selling price in the local market. Could you elaborate on that?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Yes, direct import costs were around $0.15 per watt, but panels were being sold at $0.30 per watt locally—essentially a 100% profit margin. This lucrative opportunity caused many distributors, even those primarily in other trades like rice, to shift their focus to solar panels. At one point, it seemed like everyone wanted a piece of the pie.
**Editor:** We’ve also noted that the market could potentially be changing with so many panels becoming available. What’s your perspective on this shift?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Indeed, the market is experiencing a saturation point. By 2024, we find ourselves in a situation where profit margins are decreasing, with some panels even being sold at a loss. Many expected longer-term investments, but the market dynamics shifted rapidly, prompting some to exit sooner than anticipated.
**Editor:** How has this affected investments in solar energy?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Investment has predominantly come from both commercial and industrial sectors. Multinational and local companies recognize solar as a viable financial strategy. those with capital are shifting towards solar energy because it tends to yield returns within 18 to 24 months, making it an attractive option despite the current fluctuations.
**Editor:** That’s insightful. As we move forward, what are the prospects for solar energy in Pakistan, especially considering electricity prices are rising?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** The rising electricity costs, driven by various factors including currency devaluation and systemic inefficiencies, underscore the ongoing relevance of solar energy. Even if net metering becomes less profitable, solar remains a solid investment for many households and businesses due to its ability to offset rising electricity bills. As the regulatory framework matures and public awareness increases, I expect solar energy adoption will continue to grow.
**Editor:** Thank you, Muhammad. It’s clear that while the market may be volatile, the opportunities for solar energy in Pakistan are significant.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you! I appreciate the opportunity to discuss these crucial developments.