Can you believe it’s already Week 11 in the NFL season? It feels like just yesterday we were gearing up for kickoff, and yet here we stand with more games in the rearview mirror than ahead of us. Time certainly flies during football season!
In my last outing, I managed to successfully predict two out of three props. However, the young quarterback Sam Darnold fell well short of my expectations, failing to secure even a single touchdown while instead tossing three interceptions, two of which were catastrophic end-zone blunders. It’s a classic reminder of the unpredictable nature of sports: some days you hit the jackpot, and other days you watch the dice roll against you.
Nevertheless, today marks a fresh start with an array of new prop bets, fresh lines, and exciting opportunities ahead. Let’s explore the Week 11 props that truly stand out! — Daniel Dopp
All odds as of publication time. For the latest odds, visit ESPN BET.
Quarterback props
Jared Goff OVER 1.5 passing TDs (-125)
Dopp: After an unfortunate outing where Goff threw five interceptions against the Texans, he’s looking to bounce back. The Lions’ offensive lineup is set to go against a Jaguars’ defense that hasn’t put up strong numbers, only registering 21 sacks this season—ranking them as one of the league’s least impactful defenses. The Lions will likely utilize their running backs but Goff still has a clear path to reclaim his form. In his last seven games, he has netted two or more touchdowns in six of them. Considering that Jacksonville has surrendered 19 touchdown passes so far this year, the opportunity for Goff to shine again is ripe.
Mac Jones UNDER 34.5 pass attempts (+100)
Dopp: At first glance, this bet might seem to contradict my earlier selections, especially given the Jaguars’ recent struggles. However, given the potential for a Lions’ dominance on the field, Mac could find himself on the sidelines more often than not. Even though the Jaguars have been on the back foot in many of their contests, quarterback Trevor Lawrence has only surpassed this attempt mark twice out of nine games. With a burgeoning Lions ground game, his road to a high-volume passing day could be greatly diminished.
Running back props
Christian McCaffrey OVER 74.5 rushing yards, scores rushing TD, 49ers win (+190)
Loza: McCaffrey made a spectacular return last week, showcasing his versatility with 19 touches and over 100 yards. He may have shown signs of rust, but as he faces a Seahawks defense that ranks poorly against the run, I expect him to complete a strong performance. In every one of his previous meetings with the Seahawks as a 49er, McCaffrey has surpassed 75 rushing yards—easily surpassing the mark in the majority of those games.
Nick Chubb OVER 59.5 rushing yards (-115)
Loza: Chubb is back from a tough injury and, despite earlier doubts, he’s shown he can play effectively while averaging 37.7 rushing yards per game. Now, with fresh legs from a bye week, Chubb is ready to take on a New Orleans Saints defense that has allowed a staggering average of 5.2 yards per carry.
Tight end props
Travis Kelce OVER 69.5 receiving yards (+100) and 1+ TD (+140)
Loza: Once a source of anxiety at the season’s onset, Kelce has now become a focal point of the Chiefs’ offense, averaging 8.7 receptions each game since Week 4. As the Chiefs prepare to battle against the Buffalo Bills, Kelce’s track record against them is impressive: he’s consistently scored or surpassed 80 receiving yards in their last seven encounters, including playoffs.
Kicker (yes, kicker) props
Jake Bates OVER 3.5 extra points (+130)
Dopp: All of my prop picks this week center around the intense matchup between the Detroit Lions and the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Lions boasting an impressive 8-1 record appear poised for offensive fireworks, making this prop particularly enticing. Bates has consistently shown his ability to convert extra points even in high-stakes scenarios.
The elevated game total of 46.5 points further hints at a high-scoring showdown, and with the Lions averaging an incredible 30 points per game, it sets the stage for a resounding victory. Add the potential for a bounce-back performance from their offense, and I’m backing Jake Bates to exceed the 3.5 extra points mark in Week 11.
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What are the key factors to consider when placing prop bets for Week 11 according to Daniel Dopp?
**Interview with NFL Analyst Daniel Dopp on Week 11 Prop Bets**
**Editor:** Daniel, can you believe we’re already in Week 11 of the NFL season? It feels like just yesterday we were ready for kickoff and now the playoffs are just around the corner.
**Daniel Dopp:** I know! It’s incredible how quickly the season flies by. Each week brings new surprises and challenges. It’s a rollercoaster ride for fans and bettors alike.
**Editor:** Speaking of surprises, last week you had mixed results with your prop bets. Can you give us a bit more insight into what went wrong with Sam Darnold?
**Daniel Dopp:** Absolutely. I expected Darnold to showcase his potential, but he didn’t deliver at all—three interceptions and no touchdowns. It’s a classic reminder of how unpredictable the NFL can be. Anticipating a breakout performance can sometimes lead to disappointing outcomes.
**Editor:** On a brighter note, what do you think about the standout prop bets for this week’s games?
**Daniel Dopp:** There are some exciting opportunities this week! For instance, I’m looking at Jared Goff. He has a good chance to bounce back from a rough outing last week. The Jaguars’ defense hasn’t been formidable, so I believe he can easily clear 1.5 passing touchdowns.
**Editor:** That makes sense, especially given the Lions’ offensive strength. What other props are you excited about?
**Daniel Dopp:** I’m also eyeing Christian McCaffrey. After his strong performance last week, he’s facing a Seahawks defense that struggles against the run. I expect him to surpass 74.5 rushing yards with a good chance at a rushing touchdown, especially given his history against Seattle.
**Editor:** And what about Mac Jones? You seem to have a contrary take on his performance this week.
**Daniel Dopp:** Yes, it’s a bit unconventional. I’m betting on him going under 34.5 passing attempts. If the Lions dominate as I expect, Jones might spend more time on the bench than on the field. It’s a risk, but I believe the flow of the game could dictate fewer attempts for him.
**Editor:** It sounds like there’s a lot to look forward to this week! Thanks for sharing your insights, Daniel. Good luck with your prop bets!
**Daniel Dopp:** Thank you! It’s going to be an entertaining week of football, and I can’t wait to see how it all unfolds!