There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, the demand for solar panels in Pakistan is about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant that distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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How is the current oversaturation of the solar panel market affecting investment decisions in the industry?
**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp.**
**Interviewer:** Good morning, Mr. Mujahid. Thank you for joining us today. There has been a substantial influx of solar panels in Pakistan in recent months, especially from China. What do you think has prompted this surge in imports?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Good morning, and thank you for having me. The primary driver behind this surge is the alarming increase in solar panel demand, which reached an estimated 3.5 GW last year. With China positioning Pakistan as a key export market for solar panels this year, it made sense for many distributors and companies to capitalize on this opportunity.
**Interviewer:** Interesting. You mentioned previously that in 2022, Pakistan faced serious conditions, such as a shortage of dollars which affected imports. Could you elaborate on how this impacted the solar industry?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Absolutely. During 2022, the foreign exchange crisis forced the central bank to prioritize essential goods causing significant restrictions on imports—including solar panels. This led to a nine-month hiatus where distributors couldn’t bring in any solar products. However, the market dynamics changed once those restrictions eased, and the pent-up demand paved the way for a significant influx of solar panels; we literally saw them “on the roads.”
**Interviewer:** We’ve also heard about significant profits from importing solar panels. Hussain Khan mentioned a profit margin of 100%. How has this affected the market?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Yes, those high profit margins made solar panel trading incredibly attractive. Companies ventured into solar as they could bring dollars back through other exports like rice, which opened up new avenues for profit. However, now we are seeing an oversaturation in the market that is driving down prices, and some panels are being sold at a loss.
**Interviewer:** It sounds like the landscape is changing rapidly. How do you expect this oversaturation to affect both investors and consumers in the long term?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** While many anticipated a longer duration of high profits, the rapid increase in supply has caught many off guard. We expect some investors may exit the market sooner than anticipated due to falling profit margins. However, despite the current fluctuations, solar energy remains a wise investment as electricity prices continue to rise in Pakistan, making solar a reliable alternative.
**Interviewer:** With electricity prices climbing, do you think solar installations will continue to grow among commercial and industrial sectors?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Definitely. As Hussain Khan noted, those with capital are increasingly considering solar installations as a straightforward and lucrative investment. It’s a smart move, especially since ROI can typically be achieved within 18 to 24 months. The energy landscape is rapidly evolving, and solar is becoming essential for sustainable growth.
**Interviewer:** Thank you for sharing your valuable insights, Mr. Mujahid. It’s clear that the solar sector in Pakistan is at a pivotal moment.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for the opportunity. It’s an exciting time for solar energy in Pakistan, and I’m optimistic about what lies ahead.