There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, the demand for solar panels in Pakistan is about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant that distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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What factors have contributed to the surge in solar panel imports in Pakistan?
**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid and Hussain Khan on the Surge of Solar Panel Imports in Pakistan**
**Editor**: Welcome, Muhammad Mujahid from Innovo Corp and Hussain Khan from Wateen Energy Solutions. Thank you for joining us today. There’s a significant trend of solar panel imports in Pakistan. Can you give us an overview of what’s happening?
**Muhammad Mujahid**: Absolutely, thank you for having us. We have seen an impressive surge in solar panel imports, especially from China. Just in the first half of 2024, Pakistan imported 13 GW of solar panels, making it the third-largest market for Chinese solar exports. This resonates with the country’s growing demand, which was around 3.5 GW in 2023.
**Editor**: That’s a remarkable increase. What led to this spike in demand?
**Hussain Khan**: The spike in demand can be attributed to several factors, including the financial and energy crises faced during 2022. With a lack of dollars restricting imports of essential goods only, many companies pivoted to solar panel trading as a profitable avenue. During that period, we saw substantial profits in trading, with panels imported for $0.15 per watt and sold for $0.30 per watt locally. This attracted a lot of newcomers into the market, including businesses that previously operated in unrelated sectors, such as rice exports.
**Editor**: Muhammad, you mentioned that the situation was created partly due to a foreign exchange crisis. Can you elaborate on that?
**Muhammad Mujahid**: Yes, during 2022, the central bank faced a dollar shortage, leading to a trade deficit which affected most imports. The issuance of letters of credit was restricted, so while essential goods were prioritized, several market players still managed to import solar panels—albeit in limited amounts. This created an environment where larger players capitalized on the situation more effectively than smaller distributors.
**Editor**: As you’ve highlighted, the market has seen an influx of solar panels, resulting in profitability challenges. Can you comment on how the market is evolving as a result?
**Hussain Khan**: With so many panels on the market, we’ve begun to see a decrease in profit margins. In fact, some retailers are now selling panels at a loss. It was surprising that particularly aggressive competition drove many to leave the market sooner than anticipated. Initially, it seemed these profits would sustain long-term, but market saturation has shifted that perspective dramatically.
**Editor**: Given these evolving market conditions, do you think investing in solar is still a viable option for businesses?
**Muhammad Mujahid**: Definitely. Despite the recent volatility, solar energy remains a solid investment due to rising electricity prices in Pakistan, fuelled by various factors such as currency devaluation and inefficiencies in the energy sector. Even if profit margins like net metering become less attractive, the long-term benefits and ROI for solar investments remain substantial.
**Editor**: Hussain, what are your plans for the future regarding installations?
**Hussain Khan**: We have ambitious plans. Wateen Energy Solutions has successfully installed 30 MW of solar panels over the past 18 months and we aim to increase that to about 50 MW by 2025. There’s a strong belief from local industrial sectors in solar energy as a straightforward investment, given its capability to generate returns relatively quickly.
**Editor**: Thank you both for your insights. It seems like there are both challenges and opportunities as Pakistan navigates its renewable energy landscape. We appreciate your time today!
**Muhammad Mujahid and Hussain Khan**: Thank you!